NFL Football
2025-11-16 - Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
United States : NFL Week 11
Sunday 16th November 2025 - Scheduled 1pm
6pm (British Time)
Preview
Three wins in a row having given the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) momentum as they look to keep the pressure on the Denver Broncos at the top of the AFC West. A lot of credit has to be given to the Chargers for finding a way to winning positions even as the injuries have piled up and they can keep that going when travelling to the East Coast to play in the early Sunday slot.
They are facing the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4) who have lost three of the last four games and who will still be wondering how they managed to blow the big lead built up against the Houston Texans.
If the Playoffs begun today, the Jaguars would actually be playing in the post-season, but the momentum is against them and injuries have been hurting the team.
Trevor Lawrence is going to be without Travis Hunter for the foreseeable future, while Brian Thomas Jr remains a doubt. The Jaguars have traded for Jakobi Meyers, but he was supposed to complement what the team had rather than having to step up and learn the playbook very quickly to become the top Receiving option available to the Quarter Back.
In recent games, the Los Angeles Chargers Defensive Line have really begun to step up to clamp down on the run and they can have success against this Jacksonville team.
This is going to be a huge part of the game on this side of the ball- if the Chargers can keep the Jacksonville Jaguars in third and long spots, the Los Angeles pass rush is going to cause havoc going against this Offensive Line. With the Secondary playing at the level they have been in recent games, that pressure up front could lead to mistakes and Jacksonville may struggle to move the ball as effectively and efficiently as they will hope.
The Chargers will also look to lean on the run in order to put Justin Herbert in positive field position and not have this makeshift Offensive Line have to give the Quarter Back time to find Receivers down the field.
Injuries to the first two Running Backs on the depth chart have offered Kimani Vidal an opportunity and it is one that he has largely taken, although this week he will be facing a Jacksonville Defensive Line that have played the run quite well.
The Secondary have not operated at the same level and the Jaguars pass rush has been disappointing in recent games.
They should have success facing this Chargers Offensive Line, but Justin Herbert is showing why he is one of the top Quarter Backs in the NFL by keeping the team moving in a positive direction. He has not been afraid to take the big hit for the benefit of the team and there are Receivers on the roster who can make the big plays for Justin Herbert and put the Chargers in a position to win this game.
He will make enough plays in this one to put Los Angeles in a position to remain in touch with the AFC West leaders and they can win here.
One factor that does hold back the enthusiasm for backing the Chargers is the fact they have won road games at Miami and Tennessee without covering, but they perhaps should have in the second of those games.
The Jaguars have shown some positive signs this season, but they were beaten at home by the Seattle Seahawks when set as the home underdog and the Chargers may have more Offensive consistency that gives them the edge in this one.
Prediction
Lay the points with the road favourite.
The Pick :
Jacksonville Jaguars 20-27 Los Angeles Chargers
