Italian Serie A
2025-11-28 - Como vs Sassuolo
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 13
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Lombardy, Italy (13,602)
Friday, 28 November 2025, 15:00 CET
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Como Team News
Como is currently 6th on the table and undefeated since round 2 when they visited Bologna and lost 1-0. True, the schedule has been incredibly easy, with only three top sides in ten rounds, but this undefeated streak is showing how stable Como is.
When it comes to actually winning, it's a different story. For now. Como needs a lot of things to go their way in order to land a win, and you can't really guess when will that happen. They're just as likely to play 0-0 at home against Cagliari or win 1-5 at Torino like they did last week. It seems that matches against the relegation candidates, that play deep defence, is the biggest unsolved problem for Cesc Fabregas.
Sassuolo Team News
Now, is Sassuolo a relegation candidate that sits deep? Yes, for sure. This is a team that casually stacks up bodies 30 meters from the goal and refuses to let the opponent have space to pass into. Sassuolo simply lulls the other team into a very slow game.
And then, when they get the ball, they drive it forward quickly and shoot on sight. This is how they get their wins, and most commonly these wins will come on the road. Most recently, Sassuolo won 0-3 at Atalanta and won 1-2 at Cagliari the week before.
The plan didn't work quite as well in the cup in late September, when Como hosted Sassuolo and won cleanly 3-0.
Probable Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1): Butez - Kempf, Carlos, Ramon, Valle - Perrone, Caqueret - Addai, Paz, Jesus Rodriguez - Morata. Coach Fabregas.
Sassuolo (4-3-3): Muric - Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig - Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone - Berardi, Pinamonti, Lauriente. Coach Grosso.
Fabregas still has faith in his compatriot Alvaro Morata. Zero goals and an assist in 12 appearances.
The Betting Market
You can still get lots of value on Como despite them being a side that's undefeated for a long time and that's sitting in European spots. Bet365 has 1.71 on Como here, take it if you think this is a round when they win and not draw.
The closing price was 1.57 against Cagliari and Verona, and these last two home matches for Como ended 0-0 and 3-1 respectively.
The Over/Under market is split at 1.90. Both Teams To Score: YES is the favoured outcome at 1.80, with a price of 1.95 for NO.
The Betting Verdict
We could argue that Sassuolo certainly grew a lot as a team since that 3-0 defeat at Como in the cup, so we can't just blindly bet on Como to achieve the same result here two months later. Also, Sassuolo fielded a reserve team in that game, and without their star offensive trio they're nothing.
Our main bet here will be that Sassuolo will do better at Lago di Como than in September. The bookmakers think they won't - we think they will.
Como doesn't really concede much, and is a team that is difficult to counter due to the slow short-passing pace, but we still think there's a lot of value in Sassuolo finding the net. Both teams will score here, at the very least.
The Pick :
Como 1-1 Sassuolo
