Italian Serie A
2025-11-29 - Genoa vs Hellas Verona
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 13
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Liguria, Italy (33,205)
Saturday, 29 November 2025, 15:00 CET
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Genoa Team News
Incredibly, Genoa has been scoring in bunches since Patrick Vieira left the club, as the interim coach oversaw a 1-2 win at Sassuolo, and then the new coach Daniele De Rossi led the team to two draws, 2-2 at home against Fiorentina and 3-3 on the road at Cagliari. Genoa posted an xG of 1.76, 1.59 and 1.42 in those three matches respectively, so it's not like they were all accidental goals. The change in Genoa is obvious.
Problem is, Genoa still only has one win in 12 rounds and is sitting in the relegation zone, on the 18th spot at 8 points, two more against the bottom-placed Verona.
A win here is an absolute must, to get out of the relegation zone before the schedule becomes brutal. Genoa will visit Atalanta and then Udinese before hosting Inter. Then Atalanta again, and Roma. Five rounds will pass before Genoa has another winnable game, on 3rd January at home against Pisa.
Verona Team News
Verona is at the bottom of the table and is still winless. This team is simply lacking the ability to lead the game to the desired result, even though the offensive part of the team sometimes does something. It's just that if Verona scores once, the opponent will score two. If Verona scores twice, which is a rarity, then the opponent will score at least two - like Cagliari did in the 2-2 draw five rounds ago.
Last season, this Verona side just barely stayed in the league, with an incredible do or die run of results with a severely limited roster, after selling all players that someone wanted to buy.
What's left is that same poor roster, more or less, but now without the urgency that would produce results.
Probable Lineups
Genoa (3-5-2): Leali - Marcandalli, Ostigard, Vasquez - Ellertsson, Frendrup Malinovsky, Thorsby, Martin - Vitinha, Colombo. Coach De Rossi.
Verona (3-5-2): Montipo - Bella-Kotchap, Nelsson, Frese - Belghali, Al Musrati, Gagliardini, Bernede, Bradaric - Giovane, Orban. Coach Zanetti.
The Betting Market
Genoa is a 2.10 favourite and this price is very valuable. A team on an upward trend, with a changed formation and a newly found taste for goals, is hosting a useless team in a relegation six-pointer.
Under 2.5 Goals is a banker, so the bookmakers say, with a price of 1.44 and we beg to differ. Have they seen Genoa's results recently? Goals are all over the place.
This also means that Both Teams To Score: YES has value at 2.20, but not as much as the 2.75 on Over 2.5 Goals.
The Betting Verdict
Goals are a decent bet here, as there will surely be fireworks as Genoa goes on the offensive. Verona has a duo of quality forwards that can create their own chances so we see both teams scoring here and the total going over 2.5 as Genoa wins it. This match won't generate much interest among punters as it doesn't involve a top side, but Genoa to win is one of the best bets in this Serie A round.
The Pick :
Genoa 2-1 Verona
