Italian Serie A
2025-12-06 - Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 14
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (21,525)
Saturday, 06 December 2025, 15:00 CET
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Sassuolo Team News
We all know Sassuolo is doing more than fine this season, but this is a side that thrives in specific circumstances. Playing at home is not one of them -- Sassuolo doesn't have a home league win since late September. They won 3-1 against Udinese there with an impressive performance, then lost to Roma and Genoa before drawing 2-2 with Pisa.
You can't ever pinpoint when exactly will Sassuolo win, as they're actually a weak team that plays high-risk high-reward offensive actions. Sometimes they'll score three, sometimes they won't score at all. What we can be fairly certain of is that Sassuolo won't draw often. So far they have a 5-2-6 record and are sitting at the 10th spot on the league table.
Fiorentina Team News
We said last week we will no longer fade Fiorentina, but that's when they started losing. Atalanta won cleanly 2-0, and before that Fiorentina was also shut down at home in the Conference League by AEK Athens 0-1. Fiorentina posted good xG numbers in both matches, over 1.50, but failed to score, as was the case so many times this season. This side seriously lacks a clinical finisher.
Fiorentina is 19th on the league table, just barely above Verona on goal difference, with no wins and only 6 points so far. This side was supposed to put up a fight for European spots but here we are. The change of coach hasn't yet brought anything good either.
Probable Lineups
Sassuolo (4-3-3): Muric - Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig - Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone - Volpato, Pinamonti, Lauriente. Coach Grosso.
Fiorentina (4-3-1-2): De Gea - Dodo, Commuzzo, Ranieri, Parisi - Mandragora, Fagioli, Sohm, Parisi - Gudmundsson - Piccoli, Kean. Coach Vanoli.
Domenico Berardi is injured for Sassuolo and he'll be out for at least two months. Fiorentina will make a switch to a four-man defence, which will allow for a dangerous offensive trio.
The Betting Market
The bookmakers are uncertain what to do here, so they installed Fiorentina as a cautious favourite at 2.60. This means you can get 2.99 on Sassuolo if you think they're winning this and thereby prolonging Fiorentina's misery.
Under 2.5 Goals is the surprisingly favoured option at 1.72, with a 2.10 for the Over. Both Teams To Score: YES is the favoured option in that market at 1.80, with a 1.95 for NO.
The Betting Verdict
We think Fiorentina should finally score here, as they're posting good xG numbers lately, so it's only a matter of time before they gain enough confidence to start putting the ball into the net. They might even win this. Sassuolo, on the other hand, is also likely to score at least once, so BTTS-Yes it is.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Sassuolo 2-1 Fiorentina
