Italian Serie A
2025-12-08 - Pisa vs Parma
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 14
Arena Garibaldi, Pisa, Tuscany, Italy (14,869)
Monday, 08 December 2025, 15:00 CET
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Pisa Team News
Pisa stopped losing a while ago, and they have six draws in the last nine Serie A rounds, having lost to Bologna and Inter only. Their sole win was a 1-0 against Cremonese three weeks ago. It's still not enough to get out of the relegation zone as they're 18th at the moment, three spots from the bottom. Parma is the lowest-scoring team in the league with 9 goals, and Pisa and Lecce are at 10.
Parma Team News
Parma lost two games in a row, one in the league and one in the cup. First came the home defeat to Udinese in Serie A 0-2, and then Parma lost in Coppa Italia 2-1 at Bologna. These results come after two positive ones, as Parma won 1-2 at Verona and the week before played an improbable 2-2 draw with AC Milan.
Parma is now sitting just barely above the relegation zone, with 11 points, one point above their today's opponents Pisa.
Probable Lineups
Pisa (3-4-1-2): Šemper - Caracciolo, Albiol, Canestrelli - Toure, Piccinini, Aebischer, Leris - Tramoni - Moreo, Nzola. Coach Gilardino.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni - Luis Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Sucic, Dimarco - Lautaro, M.Thuram. Coach Chivu.
The Betting Market
This will so obviously be one of the ~1.50 Under 2.5 matches in Italy, because both Pisa and Parma are having problems with scoring and they therefore have to resort to tough defending to get anything out of a game. The price on Under 2.5 Goals is 1.57 here, with a 2.37 for the Over.
Pisa is a 2.53 favourite while the price on Parma is 3.36, but the winner market is best left alone. Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 2.00, which leaves a surprisingly valuable 1.80 for NO in case you were considering a low-scoring option here.
The Betting Verdict
Despite the low-scoring tendencies of Pisa games, this seems to change when Pisa meets a relegation candidate that they don't have to defend against. Lately they played a 2-2 draw with Sassuolo. This seems to happen to Parma too, especially as they saw some success with the newly found open style.
The two meetings in Serie B in 2023/24 were high-scoring, with the result in Pisa being 1-2 and the result in Parma 3-2 for the home side.
This means that a punt on Over 2.5 Goals for 2.37 would be a good bet here. We'll make the bet safer by turning to Asian over/under lines and choose Over 2.0 instead, and we get a price of 1.80 and our stake back in case there are exactly two goals.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Pisa 1-2 Parma
