Italian Serie A
2025-12-08 - Torino vs AC Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 14
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Italy (28,177)
Monday, 08 December 2025, 20:45 CET
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Torino Team News
Torino is a strange team. We know that already, but this season they are really taking it to the extreme. Just when everyone thought that this side stabilized, they lost 1-5 to Como at home and then proceeded to lose to one of the worst sides in the league, Lecce, on the road. Before that they had six undefeated rounds that included a 1-0 home win against Napoli.
But that's how it is with Torino, they're a weak side that can't do much, it's just that variance sometimes goes their way, and other times they're exposed for what they really are.
Milan Team News
Milan can reclaim the throne if they win here in Turin, despite Inter winning their match against Como, but on the other hand Roma lost in Cagliari and will therefore stay behind Milan no matter what happens here.
Milan lost to Lazio on the road in the cup 1-0 without Luka Modric, and as expected it was a completely different football team than with him on the pitch. Now we expect Milan to bounce back and control this game from start to finish. All of three latest Milan's matches had exactly one goal. Milan won two and lost one.
Probable Lineups
Torino (3-5-2): Paleari - Ismajli, Maripan, Coco - Pedersen, Casadei, Ilic, Vlasic, Lazaro - Simeone, Ngonge. Coach Baroni.
Milan (3-5-2): Maignan - Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic - Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi - Leao, Nkunku. Coach Allegri.
The Betting Market
Milan is a 1.78 favourite, and this is plenty, as Milan is playing with confidence this season and only had a few setbacks. We can certainly trust a side that entered this round at the top of the table to take care of a mid-table team that's a two-hour drive away from Milano.
Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 1.95, with a 1.80 for NO. We see similar prices in the Over/Under market, where Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 2.10 and Under is priced at 1.72.
The Betting Verdict
Torino won the two latest meetings on this stadium, and we actually have to go back to 2020/21 to find a game in Turin that AC Milan won. And before that, they won in 2013. That's two wins in 13 attempts.
While we certainly trust Milan to take this one, the proper bet here is the Under. The bookmakers are wrong to not slap a ~1.50 price here as Torino has always been defensive, and Milan is aiming to slow down the game and win it one-nil. The only way this goes over is if Torino scores one and Milan manages to score two.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Torino 0-1 Milan
