Italian Serie A
2025-12-14 - AC Milan vs Sassuolo
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 15
San Siro, Milano, Lombardy, Italy (80,018)
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 12:30 CET
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AC Milan Team News
This is how championships are won. Milan was losing 2-0 at Torino but eventually won 2-3, courtesy of two goals by Christian Pulisic who went in after a spell on the sidelines due to an injury. With this win, Milan climbed back at the top of the table and showed other teams their determination to stay there. Milan is now the only side in the league with no defeats in last five.
Now this is a real test for Milan as they have yet to beat a relegation candidate that isn't Lecce (they won against them in the league and in the cup). Milan failed to beat Cremonese, Pisa and Parma. Defence was a problem as Milan conceded exactly 2 goals to each of those teams.
Sassuolo Team News
Sassuolo won 3-1 at home against Fiorentina and it's safe to say their wins are no longer a surprise but something you learn to expect. True, they couldn't do much against short-passing Como in a 2-0 defeat and couldn't beat Pisa as the final score was 2-2, but these weren't favourable situations for Sassuolo. This one, on San Siro, actually suits Sassuolo much better.
This side never changes its starting lineup as it's the perfect setup that needs no changes, but now they're forced to make one as Domenico Berardi is injured. He'll be out at least for two months.
Probable Lineups
Milan (3-5-2): Maignan - Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic - Saelemaekers, Loftus-Cheek, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi - Pulisic, Nkunku. Coach Allegri.
Sassuolo (4-3-3): Muric - Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig - Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone - Volpato, Pinamonti, Lauriente. Coach Grosso.
Christian Pulisic is now fully fit, and Sassuolo is without Domenico Berardi.
The Betting Market
It's interesting to see the price of 1.45 on Milan, which would seem to indicate no one is certain that Milan will win this. We'd expect something like sub-1.30 here.
Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 2.05, with a 1.70 for NO, while the Over/Under is opposite, 1.80 for Over and 2.00 for Under.
The Betting Verdict
The price of 1.45 on Milan is good enough for those who seek bankers, as Milan is bound to beat an inferior team finally. There's a lot of value in BTTS-Yes as Milan seems to concede in bunches.
Our favourite bet here is a combination of Milan win and Over 1.5 Goals, which gets us to 1.66. Any Milan win that isn't 1-0 will do.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
AC Milan 2-1 Sassuolo
