Italian Serie A
2025-12-21 - Fiorentina vs Udinese
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 16
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florenze, Tuscany, Italy (43,147)
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 18:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Fiorentina Team News
There's just no telling how deep this Fiorentina team can fall. Despite all the good names in the roster, something is so seriously wrong here that this isn't a football team at all. Zero wins in 15 rounds, though they seem to spring to life in the Conference League, their favourite competition, where they have three wins so far. Apparently, when the Serie A pressure is lifted, Fiorentina can still play.
The bookmakers still won't shy away installing Fiorentina as a favourite at home when the opponent is right. However, Fiorentina just lost to Verona 1-2, lost to Lecce 0-1 in the 10th round, and that's it as far as winnable home matches go.
Udinese Team News
Udinese used to be a perennial 1-1 team. Both teams always score, no team ever scores twice, and the game is always tight and underish. This is no more. Under Kosta Runjaic, this team has now transcended into one of those sides that either win or lose, as evident from the 6-3-6 record.
In the previous round, Udinese did some giant killing as they do every season, and won 1-0 at home against Napoli. This win will certainly boost the morale after dropping points to a resurgent Genoa 1-2 the week before, but now Udinese must seek points here in Florenze to confirm those three points won against Napoli.
Probable Lineups
Fiorentina (3-5-2): De Gea - Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri - Dodo, Mandragora, Caviglia, Fagioli, Fortini - Gudmunssson, Kean. Coach Vanioli.
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye - Kristensen, Kabasele, Solet - Zanoli, Piotrowski, Karlstrom, Ekkelenkamp, Bertola - Davis, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
The Betting Market
Fiorentina is a 2.33 favourite here, despite being in total disarray and still winless in Serie A as a result. Double Chance Draw or Udinese, on the other hand, is priced at 1.61. Udinese is an offensive-minded visitor with a 3-1-3 away record so far.
You might want to try Udinese straight up for 3.54 or, even better, Udinese AH+0 for 2.35.
Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 1.80 so we won't get much value here, but we might in the Over/Under market where the Over 2.5 Goals option is priced at 2.20.
The Betting Verdict
We don't get as large of a price increase as last season when we combine BTTS-Yes with Over 2.5 Goals at Bet365, which is certainly a sign that this was a very profitable strategy, we can definitely recommend this little combo that increases the price from 2.20 on Over 2.5 Goals solo to 2.40 with BTTS. Just to remind us of the good old days.
However, the main bet here will be to trust a team that is known to be able to get wins when the opportunity presents itself. Udinese never gets major recognition but this is a seriously good side that simply lacks the top class talent that would match the top teams in this league.
They should be able to manhandle Fiorentina in this current state.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Fiorentina 1-2 Udinese
