Italian Serie A
2025-12-27 - Udinese vs Lazio
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 17
Stadio Friuli, Udine, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Italy (25,144)
Saturday, 27 December 2025, 18:00 CET
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Udinese Team News
To address the elephant in the room, yes, Udinese lost 5-1 to Fiorentina, but that's what you get when your player gets a red card in the 8th minute and you keep playing offensively regardlessly. It was 3-0 by half-time. Normally, when one team gets a red card the game is expected to be a toss-up between zero and one goals in total, but alas, this one had six.
Regardless of the reason for conceding five goals, you can usually expect a particularly conservative performance from that side in the following match.
Udinese is doing well, as they usually do, as a stable team that is almost perfectly average in every statistical category. What stands out this season is that Udinese no longer plays draws, they either win or lose.
Lazio Team News
Just when we thought we got ourselves an underappreciated favourite, and therefore a chance to win some bets, Lazio took a step back and showed us their true colours. This is still a team that finds it difficult to win, yet is well-coached and well-organized so it doesn't lose much either. The offensive part of the team is letting everybody down as the best you can hope for from Lazio is one goal scored.
Probable Lineups
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye - Goglichidze, Kabasele, Solet - Zanoli, Ekkelenkamp, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara - Buksa, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
Lazio (4-3-3): Provedel - Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini - Guendouzi, Cataldi, Vecino - Cancellieri, Castellanos, Noslin. Coach Sarri.
The Betting Market
Lazio is a 2.51 favourite and that's a good bet if you're a value punter. Lazio is the better side, that much is certain, we just don't know if they'll manage to score enough to actually get the points. For this price, it's definitely worth a shot.
A more conventional choice would be the Under 2.5 Goals for 1.61, a winning bet in almost all matches that Lazio plays. Both Teams To Score: NO is priced a bit better, 1.80.
The Betting Verdict
Even though this game can certainly go Over 2.5 Goals if both teams score and then Lazio finds the winning goal, we'll continue riding the hot hand that is Lazio + Under 2.5.
Udinese won't open this game up after the 5-1 defeat, they will want to win it 1-0, same as Lazio.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Udinese 1-1 Lazio
