Italian Serie A
2026-01-07 - Bologna vs Atalanta
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 19
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (36,000)
Wednesday, 07 January 2026, 18:30 CET
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Bologna Team News
Bologna coach Vincenzo Italiano has slammed his team for a "no-performance" against Inter, but in reality it was a masterclass in tactics by Christian Chivu, who finally solved the enigma that is Bologna. Italiano's team looked lost, but that's how you look like when the other team outsmarted you from the get go.
Bologna is now winless in five Serie A rounds, a trend started with that incredible 1-3 home defeat to Cremonese, and although this side won in the cup against Parma, did the same in the Super Cup against Inter, and won at Celta in the Europa League, when we look at Serie A alone we see no wins.
At the moment, Bologna looks like they've lost some magical ingredient that makes them a good team. They could just be tired, and as they're relying on running a lot, their performances suffer when they can't run as much. Whatever the reason may be, Bologna is currently in a downtrend.
Atalanta Team News
Opposite is the case with Atalanta, a side that has nothing but wins -- the debacle against Verona and the expected defeat to Inter excluded. Atalanta won against Eintrach, Fiorentina, Genoa, Chelsea, Cagliari, Genoa again, and last but not least, against Roma.
Atalanta has been rapidly climbing up the table as a result and we think they'll climb even further. Here they have a real chance to do well as Bologna is 1 point ahead of them, so they can get to the 7th spot with a win here.
The prime reason why Atalanta is suddenly doing so well is the fact that their offense finally has a spearhead in Gianluca Scamacca. With him on the sidelines, Atalanta played with a bunch of false nines and it resulted with lots of chances but no killer instinct to convert them. Conversion is fine now.
Probable Lineups
Bologna (4-2-3-1): Ravaglia - Zortea, Vitik, Heggem, Miranda - Pobega, Ferguson - Fabian, Orsolini, Dallinga - Cambiaghi. Coach Italiano.
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi - Djimsiti, Hien, Scalvini - Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Bernasconi - De Ketelaere, K.Sulemana - Scamacca. Coach Palladino.
Atalanta key player Ademola Lookman is still at AFCON with Nigeria. Rotation is expected at Bologna as coach Italiano is searching for answers.
The Betting Market
All three outcomes are priced roughly the same, with Bologna at 2.83 and Atalanta at 2.71. This is very good value if you're leaning towards betting on Atalanta, which you should. Double Chance on Atalanta is priced at only 1.40 so it's not worth it, but the Asian Handicap +0 gets us 1.87.
Under 2.5 Goals is the slightly favoured outcome at 1.80 and we agree; this game is likely to be low-scoring. On the other hand, it's the Both Teams To Score: YES that is deemed the more likely outcome of the two possible options as the price is 1.70.
The Betting Verdict
It's just a matter of picking the right bet as we know Atalanta will probably do well here. We don't want to lose if Bologna manages to muscle their way to a draw, so we'll pick the Draw No Bet, the Asian Handicap +0, on Atalanta.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bologna 0-1 Atalanta
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Take Atalanta +0 at 1.87 at Bet365
