Italian Serie A
2026-01-10 - Udinese vs Pisa
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 20
Stadio Friuli, Udine, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Italy (25,144)
Saturday, 10 January 2026, 15:00 CET
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Udinese Team News
Casual punters will likely completely ignore Udinese as it's impossible to detect their form by looking at a list of recent results. Udinese will win here and there, regardless of the opponent, and they seem to enjoy some giant killing, yet will lose on their home stadium to a relegation candidate. This happened; Udinese lost 1-2 to Genoa and then followed that with a 1-0 win against Napoli in their next home game, and a 1-1 against Lazio in the following one. Those were actually the last three home games for Udinese prior to this one, and their most recent outing was a 1-2 away win against Torino.
To the untrained eye this will look like a mess, but Udinese is actually quite a competent side - and an offensive one - that will do well on a good day. Before coach Kosta Runjaic arrived, Udinese was plagued by 1-1 draws, but now they hardly draw at all - 4 draws in 19 rounds - so it is profitable to back them to win.
Pisa Team News
Pisa is firmly planted into the bottom of the league, but the problem from a betting perspective is that they draw a lot and don't break down so easily. So you can't really make money on fading Pisa -- they can get a draw anywhere, against anyone, simply by defending deep and not leaving their box.
Pisa has only 1 win in 19 attempts, which is an absolutely pathetic success rate, so maybe a 1.18 on Udinese or Draw is a banker to your taste. Pisa simply doesn't win, so maybe this is a way to make a certain profit in this league.
On the road, Pisa's chances to draw are actually higher as they have 6 draws in 9 road games. They scored an incredible 12 goals - Sassuolo, Juventus and Napoli are on that same number - and conceded 18 goals. A very tricky team to play against, that's for sure.
Probable Lineups
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye - Goglichidze, Kabasele, Solet - Zanoli, Ekkelenkamp, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara - Buksa, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
Pisa (3-5-2): Šemper - Caracciolo, Canestrelli, Calabresi - Toure, Aebischer, Leris, Hojholt, Angori - Tramoni, Nzola. Coach Gilardino.
The Betting Market
We can get 1.86 on Udinese and that's a lot. Udinese doesn't get that much credit as they're not a top side, but this is a scenario in which they're likely to do well - a home game against a relegation candidate. Pisa is a tough nut as they have 9 draws in 19 rounds, but still, Udinese should be able to unlock them.
Under 2.5 Goals is understandably priced at 1.61 as this will hardly be a goal fest, and Both Teams To Score: NO is the favoured option at 1.70.
The Betting Verdict
Udinese to win at home is one of our favourite bets - betting on average sides to beat a lesser side at home in general, actually - because this is when we get a high price instead of the 1.30-1.40 that you see when it's Inter or Juventus playing at home. Udinese is certainly one of the sides that can do well on a good day. With Pisa as the opponent, a team that will barely enter Udinese's half of the pitch, Udinese's chances are certainly higher than the implied 54%.
It won't be easy for Udinese, especially if Pisa manages to once again score from a break. We think this will either be 1-1 or 2-1; it will be a matter of whether Udinese will find the second goal or not.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Udinese 2-1 Pisa
