ITALIAN SERIE A BETTING PICK - HELLAS VERONA V LAZIO

Italian Serie A

2026-01-11 - Hellas Verona vs Lazio

A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa

Verona v Lazio
Italy Serie A - Round 20
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Veneto, Italy (39,211)
Sunday, 11 January 2026, 18:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.

Verona Team News

Offensive Verona packs a punch, as Atalanta, Fiorentina and Napoli all learned in the last five rounds. Napoli saved itself with a late goal so at least they haven't lost like Atalanta and Fiorentina did, but regardlessly, at this moment Verona is not a side to bet against.

Despite the two recent wins - the first for Verona in this season - there's still a lot of work ahead as Verona hasn't yet escaped the relegation zone. Without a doubt, they'll try to escape it with more wins and more gung ho offensive football. They have nothing to lose.

Lazio Team News

Wheels are coming off Maurizio Sarri's bus as Lazio now only has one win in last six Serie A rounds, against Parma, and as a result the league positioning plummeted down to 10th spot.

Lazio used to be somewhere in the top six, challenging for European spots, and it seemed like Sarri did his thing and stabilized this troubled team that had a few difficult seasons.

Now we're back to square one, Lazio again looks like a bad roster with a bad game plan. Things have been made worse - a lot worse - by the sale of Taty Castellanos.

Probable Lineups

Verona (3-5-2): Montipo - Nunez, Bella-Kotchap, Valentini - Bradaric, Niasse, Gagliardini, Bernede, Frese - Giovane, Orban. Coach Zanetti.

Lazio (4-3-3): Provedel - Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini - Vecino, Cataldi, Belahyane - Cancellieri, Noslin, Isaksen. Coach Sarri.

Lazio doesn't have a proper centre forward since Taty Castellanos left. Last time around Cancellieri was the false nine, this time it could be Noslin, with young Pedro ready to jump in from the bench at a moment's notice.

The Betting Market

Lazio is the favourite but the price is much higher than what you might expect, looking at league positioning where Verona is in the relegation zone and Lazio is 10th but was much higher a month or two ago. You get 2.41 on the visitors and that's a really good bet.

What stands out even more is the 2.50 offered on Over 2.5 Goals, it's as if the bookmakers are dead certain that this game won't have goals in it. They give us a price of 1.50 on the Under.

Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 2.05 while the price on NO is 1.70, but it's best to try to find value in betting on Lazio for 2.41 or on Over 2.5 for 2.50. Pick one.

The Betting Verdict

In last twelve Serie A outings, Verona has ten overs. The only two times when the game was low-scoring were bore draws, against Lecce and Pisa. Seems expected in hindsight, as these are sides that don't accept Verona's offer of an open exchange of blows.

Lazio is completely different than Verona, as this side plays controlled football and it is rare to see both teams score when Lazio is on the pitch. They either win to nil or lose to nil, and the best you can get is a scoring draw, that's a ridiculously high-scoring game by Lazio's standards.

Still, we believe that just like everyone else Lazio will be pulled into a crazy game of football, Verona style. We're expecting something similar to what Torino did to Lazio when the score was 3-3.

That was not controlled football; Lazio was desperate to match Torino's offensive intentions, and were lucky to have scored for 3-3.

The Statistics :

The Pick :

BEST BETTING TIP :

Take Over 2.5 Goals at 2.50 at Bet365

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