German Bundesliga
2026-01-17 - Borussia Dortmund vs St.Pauli
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Signal Iduna Park – Dortmund
Saturday, 17th January 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund’s form after the winter break is built on the back of a very strong first half of the season.
They are unbeaten in their last 10 Bundesliga matches, a run that includes four wins in their last six and a 3-0 victory over Werder Bremen a few days ago — a game that looked tighter than the scoreline suggests but ultimately showed Borussia Dortmund’s ability to close out matches.
The 36 points Borussia Dortmund have collected already is their best return after 17 games in seven years, and they sit well clear of last season’s pace by a big margin.
Their wider squad and tactical balance have improved under the current coaching setup, and they have only lost once in their last 25 Bundesliga matches, a narrow defeat at Bayern Munich.
That level of consistency from defence through attack will make Dortmund very difficult to stop at the Signal Iduna Park.
St.Pauli
St.Pauli arrive with far less rhythm and significantly more defensive work to do. While they can be competitive on their day, they lack the same quality in decisive moments that Borussia Dortmund possesses.
They did mount a thrilling late comeback to draw 3-3 at home against Borussia Dortmund in their August clash, showing they can hurt big teams, but that was an outlier in a fixture where they have historically struggled.
St.Pauli lost 2-1 to Wolfsburg in their midweek clash, dropping into the automatic relegation spots, level on 12 points with dead last Heidenheim. However, they have a game in hand to play because of their recently postponed match.
The Betting Verdict
The head‑to‑head history here speaks volumes: Borussia Dortmund have lost only once to St.Pauli in all competitions in the past 15 meetings and haven’t been beaten by them in the Bundesliga since 1989.
St.Pauli can cause problems and have shown they are capable of scoring goals against top sides, but this feels like a match where Borussia Dortmund’s class and confidence should shine through.
Expect Borussia Dortmund to dominate possession and create clear chances, and while St.Pauli may get on the scoresheet on the break if they are brave, the hosts should ultimately take the points in a controlled performance.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Borussia Dortmund 2-1 St.Pauli
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Borussia Dortmund to win & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.94 with 12Play Sports
