Champions League
2026-01-21 - FK Qarabag vs Eintracht Frankfurt
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; UEFA Champions League: 07th Round
Azersun Arena – Baku, Azerbaijan
Wednesday, 21st January 2026 - kickoff 18:45 CET
FK Qarabag
FK Qarabag head into this match knowing their European hopes are slim.
In the current Champions League group, they winless in four, taking just a point (against Chelsea). That slim total all but eliminates their chances of reaching the knockout rounds.
Still, at home in the Azersun Arena, they have shown they can threaten in attack. In their last five European home games, they have scored at least twice, suggesting that when they get forward, they do so with purpose and intent.
Historically, FK Qarabag have struggled against German opposition too — they are winless in their previous 10 matches against German clubs, drawing twice and losing eight times.
That record doesn’t determine this game on its own, but it shows how FK Qarabag tend to come up against well‑matched continental sides.
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt’s season has hit a rough patch. After a stunning 5–1 win over Galatasaray in their opening Champions League game, they haven’t tasted victory in this competition since and are currently winless in five (four losses).
In fact, they have managed just one win in their last eight UEFA fixtures across all European competitions, and have never gone six European games in a row without a victory, so confidence could be shaky.
Domestically, the picture isn’t much brighter. Eintracht Frankfurt are conceding too often, as shown by their entertaining 3–3 draw with Werder Bremen last weekend, and goals against are a recurring issue.
With group progression already out of reach and head coach Dino Toppmöller under pressure, this game feels less like a must‑win and more like a chance to rebuild belief and stop the slide.
The Betting Verdict
These two sides haven’t faced each other often, but the only prior meetings came in the play‑off round of the 2013/14 Europa League, where Eintracht Frankfurt won both legs (0-2 in Azerbaijan and 2–1 in Germany). That historical edge, combined with Eintracht Frankfurt’s superior squad and European pedigree, gives them a clear edge on paper here.
However, this is one of those fixtures where motivation and match context matter. Eintracht Frankfurt can’t progress from the group even with a win, and FK Qarabag are still fighting for pride in front of their own fans.
With both teams capable of conceding and creating chances, especially FK Qarabag at home, this one could be more open than recent form suggests.
I lean on Eintracht Frankfurt to win at valuable odds as my main betting suggestion, but also expect goals from both sides.
An alternative betting angle would be taking over 2.5 goals, given both teams’ run of high‑scoring matches and defensive issues.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
FK Qarabag 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Eintracht Frankfurt to win at odds of 2.15 with Cloudbet
