Italian Serie A
2026-01-24 - Fiorentina vs Cagliari
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 22
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florenze, Tuscany, Italy (43,147)
Saturday, 24 January 2026, 18:00 CET
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Fiorentina Team News
It's not the 5-1 against Udinese - that match was heavily influenced by a red card - it's the stoppage-time 1-0 win against Cremonese in the following home game two weeks later that finally gave this side much-needed confidence. Something was seriously wrong with Fiorentina all season and whatever it was, the demon is now gone.
Now you're looking at a side that can play 2-2 against Lazio (and almost win it), play 1-1 against AC Milan, and beat Bologna 1-2 on the road. These results are legit and they're for real, Fiorentina is now playing with fire in the belly. Don't bet against this team at this point in time.
Cagliari Team News
One thing Cagliari does well, and still can do well despite the obvious regression, is play va banque when they concede. This side will play a slow boring game until you score against them -- and will then spring back to life and play offensive football and manage to score.
They just did the unthinkable in the previous round and won 1-0 against Juventus, and we were certain the opposite would happen. Juventus was on the run, Cagliari is deteriorating, yet the minnow got the points because of their one good shot that was a really special one.
If Cagliari will make 1-0 wins their new brand of football they might do well after all. They did it to Roma too, albeit with great help from a red card for the visitors. We can say that Cagliari is a poor side that will lose most of the time, but we'd keep our eyes open, this team could possibly be improving in form.
Probable Lineups
Fiorentina (3-5-2): De Gea - Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri - Dodo, Mandragora, Caviglia, Fagioli, Fortini - Gudmunssson, Kean. Coach Vanioli.
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye - Kristensen, Kabasele, Solet - Zanoli, Piotrowski, Karlstrom, Ekkelenkamp, Bertola - Davis, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
The Betting Market
Fiorentina is a 2.33 favourite here, despite being in total disarray and still winless in Serie A as a result. Double Chance Draw or Udinese, on the other hand, is priced at 1.61. Udinese is an offensive-minded visitor with a 3-1-3 away record so far.
You might want to try Udinese straight up for 3.54 or, even better, Udinese AH+0 for 2.35.
Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 1.80 so we won't get much value here, but we might in the Over/Under market where the Over 2.5 Goals option is priced at 2.20.
The Betting Verdict
This actually looks one of the value bets of the season. Fiorentina, back to full competitive health but still not trusted by the bookmakers, is hosting a team that's a poor visitor and whose era in Serie A is coming to a slow but certain end. Even if Cagliari got some good results lately they got them at home. On the road they can't do much, though they could, of course, make this interesting when they concede and therefore start playing offensively. It will be a good game to watch on TV or on Bet365 live streaming.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Fiorentina 2-1 Cagliari
