Italian Serie A
2026-02-08 - Lecce vs Udinese
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 24
Stadio Via del mare, Lecce, Apulia, Italy (40,670)
Sunday, 08 February 2026, 15:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Lecce Team News
Lecce is a point above the relegation zone but the sense of safety won't last very long. Fiorentina will climb out of the relegation zone soon and Lecce will slot right in. It's now eight rounds since Lecce last won against anyone, and they aren't even getting draws -- they only have two during this span.
And, most worryingly, the draws came against Juventus and Lazio, which means the points were won by defending deep and not going forward at all. As soon as Lecce has to play, they can't compete and they're losing the game.
There were some positive signs until recently for this side, they even played some high-scoring games, but this has fizzled out and now this is a side that can't score and that can't even get a draw.
Udinese Team News
After narrowly losing to Inter 0-1, Udinese connected two wins. First came the away win at Verona 1-3 and then Udinese did what Udinese does well, which is giant killing. They won at home 1-0 against Roma. This continues a long stretch of relatively positive results for the Bianconeri.
Not only that Udinese won't have any trouble staying up, but they're probably among the best mid-table teams in Serie A. They're currently occupying the 9th spot, level on points with 8th-placed Lazio. That's a superb result and we're probably looking at one of the best Udinese seasons in recent memory.
Probable Lineups
Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone - Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo - Kaba, Ramadani, Maleh - Pierotti, Camarda, Banda. Coach Del Rosso (Di Francesco suspended).
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye - Goglichidze, Kabasele, Solet - Zanoli, Ekkelenkamp, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara - Buksa, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
The Betting Market
Lecce and Udinese are almost even here, as you can get 3.10 on the hosts and 2.62 on the visitors. Udinese is slightly favoured and that's correct, though the price should be even shorter.
The rock bottom Under 2.5 Goals price of 1.44 is assigned here by the bookmakers. We agree -- this game will likely have only one goal and will look like a bore draw throughout.
With this in mind, the 1.61 on Both Teams To Score: NO spells value.
The Betting Verdict
We're betting on Udinese in situations such as this one all season. This offensive and intense side proves to be quite good as soon as the competition level drops a bit, which means they're doing well against bottom-half teams.
It's not a rule, far from it, but Udinese is definitely outperforming the betting odds they're being slapped with. Their chances to win here are higher than the 38% that are implied by the price of 2.62. As a matter of fact, Udinese won the last four meetings.
Some punters will opt for the 2.62, and that's perfectly fine. We'll take a step back and take the Asian Handicap +0 instead, to get our stake back in case Udinese narrowly misses the victory.
The Statistics :
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Pick :
Lecce 0-1 Udinese
