Italian Serie A
2026-02-08 - Juventus vs Lazio
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 24
Allianz Stadium, Torino, Piedmont, Italy (41,507)
Sunday, 08 February 2026, 20:45 CET
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Juventus Team News
Juventus is playing on short notice after being kicked out of the cup by Atalanta on Thursday. We perhaps expected a better outing from the in-form Turin side, at least in terms of result, as it's Juventus that had the better xG and more shots. Four big chances versus three, too. 3-0 for Atalanta though, as if it's the easiest thing in the world.
It remains to be seen how will Juventus respond. Their scudetto dreams have quickly become Champions League goals in recent weeks as they are now 4th on the league table, and it seems that keeping 5th-placed Roma at arm's length is the focus now.
All depends on Jonathan David these days as Vlahovic is still injured. In Bergamo, David played for 75 minutes with no shots, not even blocked ones, 9 touches in the box, one chance created. This is the root of all problems in Juventus -- having no forward who'd spearhead the offense.
Lazio Team News
Lazio is all over the place with their results. They'll win here and there when the victim shows up, such as Genoa or Verona, and they'll fight hard when they're the underdog. But most of the time they won't be able to score enough to get the points.
They don't lose very often, to be fair, only twice in the last 13 rounds. This is because of Maurizio Sarri and his tactical quality. It's just that the players are letting him down when it's time to actually win a game of football, especially since their best offensive player Taty Castellanos left a few weeks ago.
Probable Lineups
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio - Kalulu, Bremer, Koopmeiners, Cambiaso - Locatelli, Thuram - McKennie, Miretti, Yildiz - David. Coach Spalletti.
Lazio (4-3-3): Provedel - Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini - Vecino, Cataldi, Belahyane - Cancellieri, Noslin, Isaksen. Coach Sarri.
The Betting Market
The 1.50 on Juventus is a trap. Sure, they're the superior side, they're in a winning streak (cup excluded), and they're usually winning this fixture. We must note here that Lazio usually wins when they play in Rome. However, Juventus has its set of problems that didn't go away just because Spalletti hid them, and they can re-emerge at any point.
An underish game is expected as the price on Under 2.5 Goals is 1.72, and Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at 1.57. The latter is a realistic price, while the 1.72 on less than three goals can be considered a gift. Are the bookmakers really suggesting this will be a 3-0?
The Betting Verdict
All the derbies that Lazio played this season have been low-scoring. Roma 1 goal total, Atalanta no goals, Juventus 1 goal, Inter 2 goals, Milan 1 goal twice, Napoli 2 goals. It's always a struggle, always trench warfare when Lazio is in a derby. Expect no different here in Turin.
Juventus seems to prefer high-scoring football this season with this roster, but they have their problems in offense as only Kenan Yildiz is creative. They can be held at bay and Lazio will attempt to do just that. This is one of those low-scoring Italian derbies -- bet on the Under at a ridiculous price.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Juventus 1-0 Lazio
