German Bundesliga
2026-02-15 - RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena - Leipzig
Sunday, 15th February 2026 - kickoff 17:30 CET
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s season took a knock midweek as their bid for a third DFB Pokal crown ended with a 2‑0 defeat away at Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals. With the cup now out of the picture, their attention is fully back to the Bundesliga and a realistic push to secure Champions League qualification.
At home, Leipzig have been strong: 7 wins from 10 Bundesliga games at the Red Bull Arena is an excellent return. That said, their recent home form has wobbled — three defeats in their last four home matches — showing they are not invincible on their own turf.
Offensively, Christoph Baumgartner has been a standout player, with eight league goals this season (plus six assists), a personal best.
RB Leipzig’s attacking threat doesn’t stop there; left‑back David Raum has been creative since the turn of the year, contributing a goal and three assists.
However, Raum will be suspended here after picking up five yellow cards, which is a blow to RB Leipzig’s creativity from wide areas.
Wolfsburg
For Wolfsburg, this is a tough ask. They have lost all eight Bundesliga games this season against teams currently in the top seven, and next up is an RB Leipzig side that is unbeaten in their last 12 games played on a Sunday, winning 10 of them.
Wolfsburg arrive in poor form themselves, beaten in each of their last three Bundesliga matches (to Mainz, Köln, and Borussia Dortmund), and sit perilously close to the relegation zone on goal difference.
Their away form is particularly concerning: three straight defeats on the road and defensive vulnerabilities exposed against quality opponents mean they could be in for a long day in Leipzig.
The Betting Verdict
RB Leipzig have won four of the last six overall meetings with Wolfsburg, and four of the last five played in Leipzig, without conceding.
RB Leipzig’s home record, combined with Wolfsburg’s struggles against top sides and on the road, makes them clear favorites here. Despite the absence of left-back David Raum, RB Leipzig have enough quality across the pitch to control the game and create more chances.
I would go with RB Leipzig to win and over 2.5 goals scored, given both teams’ recent trends and defensive vulnerabilities, especially Wolfsburg’s.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
RB Leipzig 2-1 Wolfsburg
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take RB Leipzig to win & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.84 at 12Play Sports
