Italian Serie A
2026-02-14 - Inter Milan vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 25
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Lombardy, Italy (80,018)
Saturday, 14 February 2026, 20:45 CET
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Inter Milan Team News
This Inter is winning just about every game - 19 out of 24 in Serie A this season to be exact - although they tend to slow down a bit against the other good teams from Serie A. This is something new that hasn't happened before this season but now it's obvious.
When faced with Napoli, Juventus, AC Milan or strong European opposition, the win rate of Inter will plummet. Inter's record is abysmal: 1-1-7. The one win is against Borussia Dortmund, in a match that Inter visibly dominated.
Inter won against Roma though, and if you add that one then it's 2-1-7. Still not very good. We won't count the matches against Atalanta and Lazio as these sides are inferior to Inter.
The point is, Inter plays well when they're the dominant force on the pitch. If the opponent can meet them at eye level and play football just as well, then this flat track bully suddenly becomes a paper tiger. This is either because Christian Chivu is an inferior coach to Simone Inzaghi or because the key players are getting really old. Whatever the reason may be, the facts speak for themselves.
Juventus Team News
Although scudetto dreams are long gone, as Juventus is 4th on the table, 12 points behind Inter, the battle for 'the best of the rest' is still ongoing, as is the battle for the Champions League.
Juventus is actually in quite a good form, it's just that no one can win as consistently as Inter, so everyone else starts falling behind right about this time of year. Juventus will see an occasional slip-up as the 1-0 defeat to Cagliari on Sardinia or the 2-2 home draw against Lazio, while Inter will not, and that makes all the difference.
Juventus is an offensive side these days, and they're in fact the second-best offense in the league with 41 goals scored in 24 matches. Inter has 57.
Probable Lineups
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni - Louis Henrique, Barella, Zielinski, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Lautaro, Thuram. Coach Chivu.
Juventus (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio - Kalulu, Bremer, Kelly - Cambiaso, Locatelli, Koopmeiners, Cabal - McKennie, Yildiz - David. Coach Spalletti.
Inter is without Calhanoglu and Juventus doesn't have any real worries.
The Betting Market
Inter is installed as a 1.97 favourite and that sounds about right. Should be closer to 1.80 or so, if only Juventus wasn't doing so darn well in recent H2H. You can get 3.46 on the draw and 4.45 on a shocking win for the visitors.
Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 1.80 and that's a nice bet right there. So is the Over 2.5 Goals at 2.00 but BTTS is the better of the two. A high-scoring game isn't certain, yet both teams finding the net is expected.
The Betting Verdict
We all remember the 4-4 festival of long shots from October 2024 that looked like we were watching FIFA on Playstation. On an Easy setting. Shoot and score, it's so easy. We didn't think this result would happen again anytime soon as goals don't get scored at such rate on 0.05 xG shots, yet in September 2025 they did it again as Juventus won at home 4-3. Juventus also won 1-0 in Turin in the meanwhile, which means that Inter now has only 1 win in last 5 meetings.
Expect the Nerazzuri to make an extra effort to rectify the wrong and show Juventus who is the best team in Italy. Another motive is that Inter players know that any loss of points here would benefit their bitter rivals AC Milan, that are five points behind. Inter will go full force here and will expose all of Juventus' weaknesses.
As much as we expect Inter to win, the price on both teams finding the net is very similar to the one on Inter, and it seems a more certain outcome. Juventus will play offensively here because that's the only way they can play now, and it produced good results against Inter lately.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Inter 2-1 Juventus
