Italian Serie A
2026-02-15 - Parma vs Hellas Verona
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 25
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (27,906)
Sunday, 15 February 2026, 15:00 CET
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Parma Team News
Parma has seemingly settled into an ultra-defensive posture as it got them several 1-0 wins and, crucially, 0-1 away wins too. They're just coming back from a 0-1 where they won points in Bologna, so the principle definitely works and they should stick with it.
Parma is currently at 26 points, which is 5 above the relegation zone, and this side that scored only one goal more than Lecce did, 16 vs 15 goals, intends to keep up with this football style. Since they can't ever score more than once, it makes sense to play tight games.
Verona Team News
The strange team of Verona - capable of beating Atalanta and Fiorentina in two consecutive rounds - is still down to those two wins in the entire season, and we can start writing them off as we do every season.
It's possible that at one point they'll make an improbable comeback, like they did last season after selling all their top players that could warrant a transfer fee. They're doing the same now, it's skeleton crew again, so maybe they once again start playing well when there will be nothing left to lose.
Generally, this is a completely toothless side, and, even worse, even in situations when they manage to play well and take the lead at some point, they're unable to hold it. Like, completely and utterly unable.
Probable Lineups
Parma (5-3-2): Corvi - Britschgi, Delprato, Circati, Valenti, Valeri - Bernabe, N.Caviglia, Keita - Strefezza, Pellegrino. Coach Cuesta.
Verona (3-5-2): Montipo - Nelsson, Bella-Kotchap, Edmundsson - Bradaric, Serdar, Al-Musrati, Niasse, Frese - Bowie, Orban. Coach Sammarco.
Note the 5-3-2 formation of Parma. They usually line up in 3-5-2 but their flanks are so defensive that they aren't fooling anyone anymore. It's a 5-3-2. They play offense with a total of two players.
Verona promoted their youth coach Sammarco to replace Zanetti. Their fantastic Brazilian forward Giovane has been sold to Napoli for €20m, which means that Verona will be even worse in offense. New forward Bowie is a tall physical Scottish nine, and that forward type doesn't work in Serie A even when the player is of much higher quality than Bowie.
The Betting Market
Again we're getting 1.50 on Under 2.5 Goals on a Parma game. This also means it's impossible to do anything with the winner market, as one-goal games can go either way. We'd lean towards a Parma win here, 1-0, if forced to choose at gun point. But 0-0 is just as likely. That being said, the price on Parma is 2.41, not good enough to make that punt on a home win.
Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 2.05 - don't even think about doing it - with a 1.70 for NO.
The Betting Verdict
If Parma can't score, if Verona can't score, and if the game is expected to be so low-scoring that the price on Under 2.5 is only 1.50, then surely there's lots of value in Both Teams To Score: NO for 1.70, right? At least one of these toothless sides will stay in character and fail to score.
The Pick :
Parma 1-0 Verona
