German Bundesliga
2026-04-04 - TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
PreZero Arena – Sinsheim
Saturday, 04th April 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
TSG Hoffenheim
The international break came at the best possible time for TSG Hoffenheim, who had been struggling in the weeks leading up to it.
They won just once in the last five Bundesliga matches (against last Heidenheim), suffering a heavy 5-0 defeat by RB Leipzig in the last round.
That run of poor results saw TSG Hoffenheim drop to 5th spot on the table, and now we will see what they are made of. Their goal is still the Champions League next season, but they do not look so stable now, at least they didn’t before the international break. Still, third VfB Stuttgart are just three points above them, so it’s within distance.
At home, TSG Hoffenheim won 8 of 13 games and were on a four-game home winning streak before losing to St.Pauli (0-1) and drawing with Wolfsburg (1-1) in their last two.
Mainz
This season has been a real roller-coaster ride for Mainz. After a terrible start and sitting near the relegation zone for a few months, they dramatically turned their luck last December.
Since Urs Fischer took over as their head coach in December, Mainz have lost just twice in their last 14 Bundesliga matches. Not only that, but they also entered the UEFA Conference League’s quarterfinals, so this season turns out like a Cinderella story for them.
Mainz visit TSG Hoffenheim, unbeaten in five Bundesliga matches, having won their last two against Werder Bremen and Eintracht Frankfurt. Also, they scored twice or more in each of their last three.
The Betting Verdict
TSG Hoffenheim has pressure to deliver a victory after a poor stretch, while Mainz is getting closer and closer to Bundesliga safety.
TSG Hoffenheim is unbeaten in three home duels against Mainz, beating them twice and drawing once.
This should be an open game, with plenty of chances, where I give a slight advantage to TSG Hoffenheim to win it.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Mainz
