German Bundesliga
2026-05-10 - Mainz vs Union Berlin
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
MEWA Arena - Mainz
Sunday, 10th May 2026 - kickoff 19:30 CET
Mainz
Mainz won 1-2 against St.Pauli last week, their first win after three winless games. It took them to 37 points, which is a bit short of what they expected for this season.
Anyhow, we should not forget that Mainz were sitting just five points above the relegation spots back in December. Then, Urs Fischer was appointed as their head coach, and they totally revived their form, finishing this season stable at mid-table.
Mainz were a decent home side this season. Recently, they went unbeaten in 4 home games (2 wins, 2 draws), but lost their last two against SC Freiburg and Bayern Munich.
Union Berlin
Union Berlin is on a six-game winless streak, losing four times.
However, their last week’s 2-2 draw against Koln was the point that locked their Bundesliga status for next season, so now they are perfectly relaxed in front of their final two matches against Mainz and Augsburg.
Away performances were terrible for Berliners this season. They lost 10 of 16 away games, including 5 of the last 6.
The Betting Verdict
An interesting stat is that Union Berlin is unbeaten in 9 straight duels against Mainz, their longest unbeaten run against any Bundesliga side. More recently, 3 of their last 4 duels ended in draws.
This is a game where neither side has particular motives. Both are safe and stable.
Still, Mainz has impressed more recently, played well, and I believe they are closer to winning this game at good odds.
The Statistics :
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Pick :
Mainz 2-1 Union Berlin
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Mainz to win at odds of 1.80 at BetFred
