German Bundesliga
2026-05-10 - Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Volkspark Stadion – Hamburg
Sunday, 10th May 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV long celebrated their massive 1-2 away win against Eintracht Frankfurt last week. Not only was it their first win after six winless matches (three straight defeats), but it also locked their Bundesliga status for next season.
It was only their 13th point from 16 away games this season, so it carried a lot of weight.
Now, Hamburger SV is approaching this game calmly. They are likely to make some changes in the lineup for the game, but they won’t be burdened by the result.
Interestingly, HSV were always near the bottom of the table this season, but were just once inside the relegation zone.
At home, Hamburger SV are winless in five straight games, drawing twice and losing three times.
SC Freiburg
What a fantastic week it was for SC Freiburg. They overcame a 2-1 deficit from the first duel against SC Braga to win 3-1 at home and reach their first-ever European Final. They are so close to winning the Europa League, it’s an amazing feeling for everyone around the club.
They are also fighting hard in the Bundesliga. SC Freiburg are currently 7th, the last spot that takes into Europe next season. Eintracht Frankfurt is a point behind them before this round, so it will go down to the wire.
SC Freiburg lost 4-0 to Borussia Dortmund and drew 1-1 against Wolfsburg in their last two Bundesliga games, so now they have to go for a win before a difficult final game of the season against RB Leipzig.
SC Freiburg’s recent away performances were not so good, with the team losing 4 of its last 6 away matches.
The Betting Verdict
Hamburger SV have not won against SC Freiburg since 2018, with SC Freiburg winning each of the last three competitive duels – twice in the DFB Cup and once earlier in the season.
Hamburger SV is safe in the Bundesliga, while SC Freiburg is chasing the final European spot.
SC Freiburg can still qualify for Europe if they win the Europa League, but you cannot count on it, so I am sure they will go for an away win here.
The odds for SC Freiburg’s victory are pretty good, so back the visitors to get the three points.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Hamburger SV 1-2 SC Freiburg
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take SC Freiburg to win at odds of 2.40 at Bet365
