German Bundesliga
2026-09-18 - Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Allianz Arena – Munich
Friday, 18th September 2026 - kickoff 20:30 CET
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich have seven points from their first three Bundesliga games, although the start has not been quite as smooth as the usual Bavarian routine suggests.
They opened with a 5-1 win over VfB Stuttgart, were held 0-0 at Schalke 04 and then needed a 72nd-minute Harry Kane goal to beat newly-promoted SV Elversberg 1-2 last weekend. Kane's winner was his 150th competitive goal for Bayern Munich.
Vincent Kompany still has an enormous amount of attacking quality to choose from, with Michael Olise, Luis Díaz, Jamal Musiala and Kane among the options.
Bayern Munich also have the historical edge to an almost ridiculous degree: they have never lost to Union Berlin in 15 competitive meetings, winning 10 and drawing five, while the most recent meeting ended 4-0 in Munich.
Union Berlin
Union Berlin's start has gone badly wrong. They drew 3-3 at home with Eintracht Frankfurt in the season opener, lost 4-0 away against Bayer Leverkusen and then suffered a 1-3 home defeat against Schalke 04, leaving them with one point and 10 goals conceded after only three games.
The injury list makes the trip to Munich even less appealing. Oliver Burke and Andrej Ilić are unavailable, while Marvin Friedrich, Stanley N'Soki and Kastriot Imeri are also sidelined. Andrik Markgraf remains out with his knee injury.
The Betting Verdict
I cannot help but laugh when I see odds of 1.02 for a Bayern Munich win.
Yes, Bayern Munich are overwhelming favorites, and the historical record is as one-sided as it gets, but a price implying a 98% chance of winning is simply not attractive.
The question is what Bayern Munich will do with all that attacking quality. Union Berlin have conceded four and three in their last two games, while Bayern Munich scored five against Bodo/Glimt in Europe and twice against SV Elversberg last week.
Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score looks a pretty good betting option to me at odds around 2.00-2.10 currently.
Union Berlin have found the net in two of their three Bundesliga games, including three goals scored away against Eintracht Frankfurt, and Bayern Munich have conceded in two of their three, so there is a reasonable case for the visitors to get on the scoresheet even if Bayern Munich ultimately prove too strong.
My top betting recommendation here is home win and both teams to score. An alternative bet could be Bayern Munich to win & over 3.5 goals, but the odds for that are around 1.40-1.50.
As for the result, I see this game ending something like 3-1.
The Pick :
Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Bayern Munich to win & BTTS at odds of 2.10 with Cloudbet
