German Bundesliga
2026-10-17 - Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Allianz Arena – Munich
Saturday, 17th October 2026 - kickoff 18:30 CET
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich are still the team to beat, but they have looked less convincing lately. They drew 2-2 with Augsburg after conceding twice, then came back from 2-0 down to lead Viking 3-2 before conceding a late equalizer to draw 3-3 in the Champions League.
Harry Kane scored twice against Viking and remains Bayern Munich's main threat. Michael Olise is also available for this game. His red card against Viking only rules him out of next week's Champions League match against Arsenal.
Manuel Neuer is a doubt with a foot problem, while Jamal Musiala is also doubtful with a hamstring injury. Jonas Urbig is ready to step in if Neuer misses out.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig have been ruthless at home, scoring 14 goals in three Bundesliga games without conceding once. Christopher Nkunku and Antonio Nusa have been in great form, with Nkunku hitting a hat-trick in the 6-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt. Nusa scored in that game too.
Away from home, it has been a different story. RB Leipzig lost 3-1 to Werder Bremen and 2-0 to Bayer Leverkusen. They have the pace and quality to trouble Bayern Munich, but they need to show they can produce the same attacking football on the road.
Christoph Baumgartner, Assan Ouédraogo, Max Moerstedt, and Tidiam Gomis are among the unavailable players. Still, RB Leipzig have enough attacking quality to test a Bayern Munich defense that has looked shaky in recent games.
The Betting Verdict
I am not touching Bayern Munich at 1.25. They have too many defensive issues right now, and RB Leipzig have enough power to make this uncomfortable.
I prefer over 4.5 goals at around 1.90. It is not a safe bet, but both teams have plenty of attacking quality, and Bayern Munich have conceded five goals across their last two games. I can see this turning into another high-scoring match.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bayern Munich 3-2 RB Leipzig
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Over 4.5 Goals at odds of 1.91 with Bet365
