Newcastle United vs Aston Villa football Betting Pick

Gambling advice by Auls covering the English Premier match Newcastle United vs Aston Villa.

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Auls's Recommended Bet :

I'll back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.61 with Bet365


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English Premier

2026-10-17 - Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

A Sports Betting Pick by Auls

Newcastle United v Aston Villa
Football: English Premier League
Saturday 17th October 2026 - Kick Off 5:30pm
This game is live on TV


Newcastle United


For the second time this season, Newcastle United have performed on Monday night away from St James' Park and been on the wrong end of a thumping 4-1 defeat. Last Monday, the side suffered that loss at the CBS Arena and Matthias Jaissle will be demanding a big reaction when Newcastle United play in another national televised spot on Saturday afternoon.

Most anticipated this could be a potentially difficult season for Newcastle United have sold a couple of big personalities and then losing Eddie Howe on the brink of the season beginning. The new manager has had a positive impact, but Newcastle United are still only 11th in the Premier League table and they have a 1-2-0 record at St James' Park in the top flight.

Newcastle United have made it through to the League Cup Fourth Round, but the loss at Coventry City means they have won 1 of the last 4 Premier League games played. After opening the League campaign with consecutive 2-2 home draws with Liverpool and Bournemouth, Newcastle United were able to edge past Hull City 2-1 in the last Premier League game at St James' Park.

Tino Livramento, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga and Bazoumana Toure are all doubts.


Aston Villa


Over the last few seasons, Aston Villa have been one of the more consistent performers in European competition as far as English clubs are concerned and they have made another bright start to the return to the Champions League. Unai Emery will have been pleased with a first home win over the season in any competition after Aston Villa thumped Fenerbahce, but he is also keen to see the team build some momentum in the Premier League.

It has been a slow start to the domestic campaign and Aston Villa will be playing this weekend in 16th place in the Premier League table having secured just 5 points from a possible 18. Almost all of those points have been earned away from Villa Park, which is a surprise, and Aston Villa will be travelling to the North East of England with a 1-1-1 away record.

Aston Villa are not only unbeaten in 4 games in all competitions since conceding a late goal in the 1-2 home loss to Nottingham Forest, but they have won 3 of those fixtures played. The Villans are unbeaten in 4 away games played in all competitions and they have won 3 in a row, including winning 2-3 at Tottenham Hotspur in the last away Premier League game.

Modou Keba Cisse, George Hemmings and Brian Madjo are all doubts this weekend.


Head to Head


Aston Villa picked up four points against Newcastle United in the Premier League last season, but The Magpies did win a FA Cup tie at Villa Park.

Newcastle United had won 4 in a row at home against Aston Villa, but were beaten 0-2 at St James' Park in January.


Prediction


Both Newcastle United and Aston Villa feel they have struggled to break into the top four consistently due to the financial rules in the Premier League, but the latter have been a much more steady thanks to the guidance of Unai Emery.

Prior to last season, he had not enjoyed trips to St James' Park and Aston Villa are going to have to weather some tough moments on Saturday.

Unlike Villa, Newcastle United have had plenty of time to prepare for this game after missing out on all European competition again at the conclusion of last season. The thumping 4-1 loss at Coventry City has raised some concerns considering it is the second time they have been beaten by that scoreline away from home, but Newcastle United have been more resilient in front of The Toon Army.

There is still some real issues defensively that have to be addressed as Newcastle United have conceded five goals in 3 home Premier League games, but they have been more convincing going forward.

Matthias Jaissle will also feel his team let themselves down by giving away silly goals in the defeat on Monday night and that they had shown enough going forward to believe they should have gotten more out of the game. This is just part of the learning curve for the new manager who came in pretty late into the preseason build up and it is up to the Newcastle United players to offer more support.

Goals at both ends have to be expected after what has been seen on the pitch and the underlying defensive numbers produced by both Newcastle United and Aston Villa.

Last season, both Premier League games between these clubs ended with less than three goals shared out, but 7 of the last 9 in all competitions have featured plenty of goals.

When they met at St James' Park in January, both Newcastle United and Aston Villa created enough chances to have more than the two goals combined to show for it and the layers are taking no chances with the prices.

All 3 Newcastle United home League games have ended with at least three goals shared out and both teams have hit the target in those fixtures. 2 of the 3 Aston Villa away games have also featured at least three goals in the ninety minutes scheduled and this may be a late Saturday evening televised spot that may produce entertainment for those tuning in.

So far this season, the 5:30pm Saturday night British time kick off have seen games end 3-0, 0-2, 0-0, 0-0, 0-1 and 1-1, but the defending produced by Newcastle United and Aston Villa coupled with recent attacking performances of the two teams suggest this will be a fixture with more offered for neutrals watching the game.

The Statistics :

NEWCASTLE LAST SIX HOME FORM
Newcastle betting tip
DATE   RESULT   OPPOSITION
2026-09-19  W 2-1   H v Hull_City  
2026-09-05  D 2-2   H v Bournemouth  
2026-08-23  D 2-2   H v Liverpool  
2026-05-17  W 3-1   H v West_Ham  
2026-05-02  W 3-1   H v Brighton  
2026-04-18  L 1-2   H v Bournemouth  

ASTON_VILLA LAST SIX AWAY FORM
Aston_Villa betting tip
DATE   RESULT   OPPOSITION
2026-09-19  W 2-3   A v Tottenham  
2026-09-05  D 0-0   A v Hull_City  
2026-08-23  L 4-0   A v Brighton  
2026-05-24  W 1-2   A v Man_City  
2026-05-10  D 2-2   A v Burnley  
2026-04-25  L 1-0   A v Fulham  

HEAD TO HEAD NEWCASTLE v ASTON_VILLA
DATE   HOME SCORE   AWAY
2026-01-25    Newcastle   0-2   Aston_Villa  
2024-12-26    Newcastle   3-0   Aston_Villa  
2023-08-13    Newcastle   5-1   Aston_Villa  
2022-10-29    Newcastle   4-0   Aston_Villa  
2022-02-13    Newcastle   1-0   Aston_Villa  
2021-03-12    Newcastle   1-1   Aston_Villa  

The Pick :

Newcastle United 2-2 Aston Villa

BEST BETTING TIP :

I'll back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.61 with Bet365

Place the tipsters bet at Bet365 Now!



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  Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Match Report :

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Betting Odds guide

Handicap BETS

Over
H/C
Under
BET365
1.61O/U 2.52.30
BETFRED
1.57O/U 2.52.25
CLOUDBET
1.60O/U 2.52.35

Fixed Odds BETS

NEW
DRAW
ASV
BET365
2.253.603.00
BETFRED
2.203.753.00
CLOUDBET
2.253.702.95
Click the bookmaker name to visit the betting site

This game has not been played yet - so there is no match report.

Instead you CAN see a list of odds and lines from recommended bookmakers and sportsbooks over on the right.

A final result and link to a full match report will be posted here after the game is completed.

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