UEFA Cup
2007-04-12 - Osasuna vs Bayer Leverkusen
A Sports Betting Pick by Cruiser
Analysis:Osasuna comes into this match already with a 3 goals cushion against Bayer Leverkusen from the first leg and just as we saw in the Champions League yesterday where Liverpool had a 3 goals lead against PSV, the visitors just did not have any motivation and the same could be applied here.
Leverkusen knows that it is a lost cause going into this match as it would be hard to come back from 3 goals down and on top of that they have a big clash with Bayern Munich coming up this weekend where they are to visit the Allianz Arena. They are fighting for a UEFA Cup spot so they know it would be not much use going all out here in a tie which seems more or less settled being 3 goals down from the first leg.
Leverkusen on their travels did beat Lens 3-0 after being down 2-1 in the first leg but we are unlikely to see a repeat of that performance especially against a side such as Osasuna. In the previous round they could only draw 0-0 with Premiership side Blackburn away from home. But the 3-2 win from the first leg was good enough to take them through.
Looking at their group stages they were third in their group which also had Tottenham and Dinamo Bucharesti. They drew 1-1 with FC Bruges away from home and lost to Dinamo Bucharesti 2-1.
As for Osasuna, they managed a 1-1 draw against Rangers in the previous round and them beat them 1-0 in Spain. Prior to that they drew with Bordeuax 0-0 and needed extra time to beat them in the return leg winning 1-0. In the group stages, their home form showed one draw against SC Heerenveen drawing 0-0 and then beating OB Odense 3-1.
The reason I chose Osasuna is purely the motivation factor. Bayer Leverkusen knows this tie is dead and buried and will not pursue going for a win here. They rather concentrate on their German Bundesliga match with Bayern Munich at the weekend.
Cheers and good luck,
Cruiser
The Pick :
Osasuna to win 1-0
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Osasuna to win this match.
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Therefore take Osasuna and give the 1/2 ball away here.
