Tennis
2021-07-10 - Ashleigh Barty vs Karolina Pliskova
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis: Wimbledon : Ladies Final
Saturday 10th July 2021 - Scheduled 2pm
Preview
Only one of the last thirteen Ladies Singles Finals played at Wimbledon have needed a final set decider and all of the last seven have been won in straight sets. It has been a long time since there has been a truly competitive Ladies Wimbledon Final, but the performances of both Ashleigh Barty and Karolina Pliskova over the last fortnight have been encouraging.
They have previously been involved in many competitive matches against one another with four of their seven matches needing a deciding set to determine a winner. Ashleigh Barty has gotten the better of the majority of those matches, and the Australian rightly goes into the Final as the favourite having previously won a Grand Slam title and with a strong love of the grass courts.
Karolina Pliskova has played in a Grand Slam Final before which will offer her some experience to fall back upon, but her run at Wimbledon has arguably been stronger than the one Ashleigh Barty has produced and her game is also very well suited to the grass courts. She has won titles on the surface before and there has been a confidence about her serving which is going to make Karolina Pliskova very dangerous.
However, Ashleigh Barty has also been producing solid serving and she gets plenty from that shot on this surface. There are one or two issues with the Pliskova serve that were highlighted by big hitting Aryna Sabalenka in the Semi Final, but in the main the Czech player will feel she is getting into the return games this week and I would not be surprised if this is the most competitive Ladies Final we have seen at Wimbledon for some time.
In their previous matches both players have gotten plenty out of their serve against the other and I think that could be evident in this Final too. I think the two players will be looking to serve well and try and make sure they look after that element of their tennis and it could mean a competitive match which sees the total games line surpassed.
Karolina Pliskova has really been thriving behind the serve and she has only dropped her serve four times in her six Wimbledon wins and I think that is key for the Czech underdog. If she can serve as well as she has, I think Pliskova can make this very close and she may even be able to upset the odds, but Ashleigh Barty has long been a tremendous grass court player and I would be surprised if she was to fall away.
The Australian has not been as consistent behind serve as Karolina Pliskova, but Ashleigh Barty might be the more stable when it comes to the big points and it just feels like a match that is going to go long.
Prediction
Look for the Ladies Final to surpass the total games line.
The Pick :
Ashleigh Barty 2-1 Karolina Pliskova
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
I'll back Over 21.5 Total Games at 1.85 with BetVictor
