Spanish La Liga
2009-03-07 - Barcelona vs Athletico Bilbao
A Sports Betting Pick by Shady
Football: Spain, Primera Division
Saturday, 7th March 2009 - Kickoff 19:00
Pep Guardiola has been quoted in the press as angrily saying that this is a must win game for the Catalans as they wish to end a five game winless streak. The Catalans had a healthy lead of 12 points on the top of the La Liga but the lead has been reduced to four points.
The 4-3-3 formation has seemed to work perfectly for Pep Guardiola until recently when Barcelona failed to capitalize on opportunities that come their way.
Now Barcelona’s defense is leaking goals for fun. Four conceded against Atletico Madrid was totally unacceptable for a club like Barcelona and I do expect to see some improvement in that department.
Barcelona will go into this game without a couple of defenders. Gabi Milito and and Eric Abidal are both injured while Dani Alves and Marin Caceres will both miss the games due to suspension.
Carlos Puyol will parter Pique at the heart of the defense accompanied by Sylvinho and Rafeal Marquez. In midfield, Xavi, Sergio Busquets and Keita or Toure will make up the three man midfield, leaving Eto, Messi and Henry up front.
The main threat of Bilbao will be posses by Fernando Llorente and Pep Guardiola has already highlighted this. Therefore there would be no excuse for Puyol and co. not to be aware of the damage that he could cause.
Key players to watch out for in this game would definitely be the creativity of Messi as all eyes will be on him to make a comeback for Barcelona, while Eto’s sublime finishing this season has made him a player to watch be selected for if you’re backing on goalscorers.
Betting Statistic :
Under the asian handicap line this season, Barcelona managed to secure seven payouts for punters out of the thirteen games, losing five at home (one draw).
Barcelona are at their best when the AH line stays below 2 goals, and have only been a losing bet for punters in a single game, and that was against Real Betis in September.
On the other hand Bilbao, have managed to win six games out of the twelve away games, drawing two and losing the remaining four on the road this season under the asian handicap line.
THe Betting Verdict
Like I mention in my other previews, this is the business end of the season, and big teams will normally come up with the goods and deliver.
Barcelona have lost their last two league games on the bounce, and now Barcelona will have focus totally again as Real Madrid are only four points behind.
The Statistics :
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BEST BETTING TIP :
Barcelona to win the match. (Banker Bet)Consider trying Over 3 goals .
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Barcelona to give the 1.5 headstart.
