BOSTON RED SOX @ TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Baseball : United States : MLB Regular Season
Tuesday, August 10th 2010 - Start 12:37PM ET
(5:37PM GMT)

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Final game of this series between Boston and Toronto, and we have 2 weak pitchers in this early start. Batter up!

BOSTON RED SOX
(66-49 W/L, 32-26 Road, 6-4 Last 10, W3 Streak)

Boston are firing at the moment on offense, having banged out 17 runs in the first 2 games.

John Lackey is the starter for Boston, and he has not been solid for the Red Sox of late. He is now 1-2 with a 6.27ERA in his last 3 starts, getting whipped by the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Indians.

The right-hander has also already faced Toronto on 2 occasions this season, giving up a whopping 13 runs and 16 hits in just 10.7 innings of work.

The Boston bullpen aren't going to be much help either, if things turn to poo, as they have a road ERA of almost 5.00. I can see the Blue Jays tagging the visitors for a fair few runs here.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS
(59-54 W/L, 30-24 Home, 5-5 Last 10, L2 Streak)

Toronto will start Brad Mills tonight, and it will be his 3rd this season. In his last match, Mills faced Tampa Bay and gave up 5 runs and 5 hits in 4 innings of work. Mills also walked 4 batters in that match, while striking out only 2.

With Boston clearly in good nick at the moment, hitting the ball well, it looks bad for the Blue Jays. As a team, they are getting hit for .290 by Boston and their bullpen has an ERA well over 4.00 when playing at home.

On offense, Adam Lind, Fred Lewis and Travis Snider are all hitting almost .500 against Lackey, so I can see them scoring a fair few runs themselves here.

BETTING VERDICT

Toronto have seen 3 of their last 4 games go over, and I can see that trend continuing here with an opposing pitcher that looks like he could give up more than todays total in just a few innings.

Over 9 runs for me.

The Pick :

Over 9 runs!

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take the Over 9 runs @ 1.95 (Pinnacle) - MAIN BET