Italian Serie A
2012-02-12 - Parma vs Fiorentina
A Sports Betting Pick by ROzsolt
Football: Seria A
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Sunday 12th February – Kickoff time: 15:00 GMT+1
Parma (11th W-7 D-6 L-8)
After playing 12 games in which no draw has been recorded, Parma turned into a draw specialist, as 6 of their 9 previous games ended undecided.
Last weekend Parma managed to obtain their second away victory of the season with the contribution of Chievo’s midfielder Luciano, who scored a decisive own-goal. Giovinco scored Parma’s first goal in the 2-1 victory, reaching 9 goals this season.
Parma only lost one of their last 9 games (away at Inter), their latest home defeat being registered in October (vs. Atalanta). Despite scoring 9 goals in their last 3 games at Tardini, Parma only won one of those fixtures, against Siena. The other two ended 3-3, a rather unusual result in Seria A.
Probable Parma line-up :
Zaccardo, Lucarelli, Paletta
Valiani, Mariga, Morrone, Gobbi, Modesto
Giovinco, Floccari
Fiorentina (10th W-7 D-7 L-7)
For the first time this season Fiorentina managed back to back wins in their latest games against Udinese and Siena. The win at Artemio Franchi on Sunday was impressive (3-2), the Viola making a nice comeback after Di Natale broke the deadlock for Udinese once again.
Stefan Jovetic converted two penalties and reached 12 goals this season, only Ibrahimovic and Di Natale scoring more. Delio Rossi will be without Andrea Lazzari who is suspended, but beside him there won’t be any changes in the squad that beat Udinese.
Fiorentina on the other hand recorded some poor results on the road this season, only scoring 4 goals in 9 games (3 against Novara), which is the worst percentage from the entire league. They’ve been unable to score in 7 of these 9 games.
Probable Fiorentina line-up :
Gamberini, Natali, Nastasic
Cassani, Behrami, Montolivo, Oliveira, Pasqual
Jovetic, Amauri
The Betting Verdict
Roberto Donadoni is yet to experience defeat in charge of Parma and a win here would allow them to move into the top 10 of Seria A table, as Fiorentina only has a one point advantage over the Gialloblu.
This will be a special match for Amauri, he actually scored against his current team when playing for Parma in the previous season, but he is waiting for his first goal for the Viola since he joined them in January.
I don’t think Parma could score 3 goals for the fourth time in a row when playing at home, but I think that even one or two should be enough in order to get all three points, as I cannot ignore Fiorentina’s poor away record and their inability to score when playing on the road.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Parma 1-0 Fiorentina
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Parma to win at 2.44 at PinnacleConfidence: 7/10
