GREEK LEAGUE BETTING PICK - OLYMPIAKOS V EGALEO

Greek League

2006-12-10 - Olympiakos vs Egaleo

A Sports Betting Pick by Egaleo_city12

Olympiacos had a very bad week failing to beat Shakhtar and continue to Uefa cup but today they will probably find again their confidence in the best way they know, beating a mediocre domestic team.

Olympiacos

The morale in the team is really bad this time of the year every season because the team keeps failing to qualify from the group stage of the Champions League. They start every time with high hopes and expectations but every year at this time the target of the clus shifts from european success to the domestic league. In that they have no problem having won 9 of the 10 last championships. The morale is really low in the team and coach Sollied must not feel very comfortable now. But every time this situation appears they have the cure for that : beat easily the next greek team in their way and restore their confidence. The chairman of the club has asked for a good performance against Egaleo to show who is the boss in Greece. In order to achieve that Olympiacos will have to try without midfielder Kafes, main striker Costantinou and right defender Pantos. Olympiacos have won all their matches in their home ground this season.

Egaleo

Egaleo made a dream start in the league remaining high in the table, but have not won a single match in the last 5 games only drawing once against Panionios. If they continue that way they will soon begin to face real problems. The reason for the poor form is simple and lies in the defending mentality of the team. Lots of times they try to hold the game to 0-0 and when they concede it's too late to react. In the last game against Iraklis they had a really poor performance in the first half when they found themselves 2 goals behind and evetually lost 2-1. For this match Egaleo will miss striker Agritis, midfielder Koumordzi and defender Szymanek, all important players, and right full back Jancetic will face a late fintess test. The only hope for Egaleo in that game lies in defense, but with Szymanek missing the task is even more ifficult.

HEAD TO HEAD

Olympiacos always has an easy job against Egaleo, especially in their home ground and all matches have lots of goals. Last four Olympiacos-Egaleo matches ended with 4 goals or more.

Olympiakos : Egaleo 5:1 08.04.2006
Egaleo : Olympiakos 1:3 03.12.2005
Olympiakos : Egaleo 3:1 24.04.2005
Egaleo : Olympiakos 2:2 19.12.2004
Olympiakos : Egaleo 3:1 22.05.2004
Egaleo : Olympiakos 1:2 21.12.2003
Olympiakos : Egaleo 4:0 20.04.2003
Egaleo :Olympiakos 0:2 22.12.2002
Olympiakos :Egaleo 3:0 03.03.2002
Egaleo :Olympiakos 3:4 04.11.2001


VERDICT
Egaleo will try to hold Olympiacos stars back but i highly doubt that they will manage to do so. My only concern is whether Olympiacos will be affected by their low morale and take a narrow win or will crush Egaleo to regain their confidence. I am leaning more towards the second trend because it's important for Olympiacos to turn things around and because Egaleo have key players missing and will throw a white towel after the first goal. I never bet on odds of 1.15 which is offered for Olympiacos home win. A really good bet is over 2.5 goals offered at a very generous price of 1.7 at bet365. Even the risk of a slip on over 3.5 goals offered at 2.8 at bwin seems decent. I believe that Olympiacos will cover the 2 goal handicap offered at most bookies, and even if they do i think we can have a push from this bet.

BEST BETTING TIP :

Take over 2.5 goals @1.7 at bet365