German Bundesliga
2024-04-12 - Augsburg vs Union Berlin
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
WWK Arena – Augsburg
Friday, 12th April 2024 - kickoff 20:30 CET
Augsburg
Augsburg lost to TSG Hoffenheim 3-1 last weekend, a setback in their European battle. However, they still occupy the last seventh spot, which can take them to Europe if Bayer Leverkusen wins the DFB Cup this season (which they certainly will, against Kaiserslautern at the end of May).
Despite failing to win their last two in the Bundesliga, Augsburg has been in a pretty good home form. They remained unbeaten in their last four matches at their arena, winning twice and drawing twice.
Next week Augsburg has a direct game against the sixth Eintracht Frankfurt, which should be interesting game in the European battle, so this game should serve as a good preparation.
The good news for Augsburg is that they have a very good forward in Ermedin Demirovic, who leads the team with 15 goals and 8 assists. He also scored last week and is currently the fourth-best Bundesliga scorer behind Harry Kane, Serhou Guirassy, and Lois Openda.
Union Berlin
Union Berlin has won only once in their last six Bundesliga matches, so their form has not been the best. Last weekend, they narrowly lost 0-1 to Bayer Leverkusen, but they are still safe in the lower part of the Bundesliga.
Union Berlin has a six-point advantage over the relegation playoff spot, but their next two games against Augsburg and Bayern Munich will be difficult. Regardless of what happens in those two games, I am certain that Union Berlin will remain in the Bundesliga for next season.
Union Berlin’s matches have been incredibly tight and low-scoring across the last few months. There were under 2.5 goals in 12 of their most recent 14 played.
Regarding away displays, Union Berlin has won only once on the road in their last six, drawing their most recent away game 0-0 against Eintracht Frankfurt.
Left-back Robin Gosens received a red card in the last match and is suspended for this game.
The Betting Verdict
Augsburg has a surprisingly excellent record against Union Berlin in their Bundesliga duels. They have remained unbeaten in 8 of their 9 duels, winning four and drawing four. Augsburg has also dominated in most recent home games against Union Berlin, beating them in the last three games played in Augsburg.
I expect this to be a close game, with both sides wanting to remain unbeaten. A point will suit both, and I think there is some value in backing the draw. However, considering the way of play, form, and other factors, I would go with under 2.5 goals in this match.
The Statistics :
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Pick :
Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.91 at Bet365
