German 2.Bundesliga
2024-05-11 - Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: 2.Bundesliga
Holstein Stadion – Kiel
Saturday, 11th May 2024 - kickoff 20:30 CET
Holstein Kiel
2.Bundesliga leaders Holstein Kiel are set for a celebration this weekend. Only a point will be enough for automatic Bundesliga promotion – a fantastic achievement for the town of Kiel and its fans. Fortuna Dusseldorf is a very difficult opponent, but Holstein Kiel will likely give everything to remain unbeaten in this match.
Last weekend, Holstein Kiel won 0-1 away at Wehen Wiesbaden, their seventh win in their last eight 2.Bundesliga matches. Even more impressive, it was their seventh game in eight matches in which they also kept a clean sheet!
Amazingly, Holstein Kiel is the best away team in the 2.Bundesliga but only the eighth best at home. They won four of their last six home matches but lost 1-3 to Kaiserslautern in their most recent home match a couple of weeks ago.
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Like Holstein Kiel, Fortuna Dusseldorf has won seven of its last eight games, most recently 3-1 against Nurnberg last week. However, Fortuna Dusseldorf's achievement is greater because the third-placed team has been in the best form in the 2.Bundesliga since the start of 2024.
Fortuna Dusseldorf goes to Kiel as unbeaten in 12 straight 2.Bundesliga matches. One point from this match would guarantee them a third-place finish, although they hope to catch second. They are four points behind the second St.Pauli, and I believe they will finish third to play promotion/relegation playoff games against third from the bottom in the Bundesliga (currently Mainz).
Regarding recent away performances, Fortuna Dusseldorf has won three and drew three of its last six on the road. Its most recent away match ended in a 1-1 draw against Schalke 04.
The Betting Verdict
I am no fan of conspiracy theories, but there is one very interesting thing about this game. A draw match would guarantee Holstein Kiel an automatic Bundesliga promotion and would guarantee Fortuna Dusseldorf finishing third – that’s a win-win situation for both sides.
It’s difficult to separate both teams because both are in outstanding form – both Holstein Kiel and Fortuna Dusseldorf have won 7 of their last 8 games in the 2.Bundesliga.
If you want to experiment a little, I would suggest a punt on the draw game at valuable odds. However, since this game means slightly more to Fortuna Dusseldorf, I would go with a double chance bet on Fortuna Dusseldorf to win or draw.
The Pick :
Holstein Kiel 1-1 Fortuna Dusseldorf
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Fortuna Dusseldorf to win or draw (X2) at odds of 1.55 at SportBet.One
