German Bundesliga
2025-02-16 - Heidenheim vs Mainz
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Voith Arena - Heidenheim
Sunday, 16th February 2025 - kickoff 19:30 CET
Heidenheim
It’s interesting how Heidenheim may drop down to 2.Bundesliga, but they are set to go deep into the UEFA Conference League.
Surprisingly, despite their shockingly bad form in Germany, Heidenheim won 1-2 away against FC Copenhagen last Thursday. That win probably came in the best possible time for them to restore their confidence.
In the Bundesliga, Heidenheim is third from the bottom, having lost all its last four matches. Incredibly, they have lost at HT/FT in eight of their last ten Bundesliga games, so they are really bad.
Before the start of this round, Heidenheim sits four points behind safety. That means this game is highly important for points because they are running out of time. Only 14 points so far is too little at this stage, and they must start a positive series.
What’s positive about Heidenheim is that they never lost against Mainz in their three Bundesliga duels to date, winning twice and drawing once. They won in Mainz 0-2 earlier in the season.
Mainz
Mainz is doing excellent this season, fighting for Europe, but their recent form has declined. They won only once in their last five Bundesliga matches and lost three times.
In the past two weeks, they lost 1-0 to Werder Bremen and played a goalless draw against Augsburg last week, big setbacks in their race for Europe.
The most recent Mainz games were tight and low-scoring, with five of their last six matches ending with under 2.5 goals.
Mainz has been playing terrifically at home this season but not so much at away grounds. They have lost four of their last five away games, including all of their last three at away stadiums.
The Betting Verdict
Points are important for both teams with opposite ambitions. Mainz is certainly the favorite, but their recent displays have been mostly poor, and they have lost all their last three on the road.
Heidenheim's midweek away win against FC Copenhagen significantly boosted their confidence, and maybe this game will turn things around for them in the Bundesliga.
The odds for the home win are valuable, but I would also add the draw as a possible outcome, backing Heidenheim on a double-chance bet.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Heidenheim 1-0 Mainz
