German Bundesliga
2025-04-26 - TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
PreZero Arena – Sinsheim
Saturday, 26th April 2025 - kickoff 15:30 CET
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim has won only once in its last six Bundesliga games, unnecessarily complicating their situation. With four matches left, they sit eight points above the relegation zone, but those four games are difficult — Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Monchengladbach, Wolfsburg, and Bayern Munich. They are about three or four points short of securing their status, but it also depends on how teams below them perform.
Anyhow, TSG Hoffenheim has played badly recently. Last week, they lost 3-2 to SC Freiburg, their fourth defeat in the last six matches.
As for their home performances, TSG Hoffenheim won only once in their last six matches, drawing four times and losing once.
Standard midfielder Tom Bischof will miss this game with five yellow cards. He has been one of the better team players this season, scoring five goals and two assists in 27 Bundesliga matches.
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund is unbeaten in four Bundesliga games, winning three times. They achieved a very important 3-2 win over big rivals Borussia Monchengladbach last week, inching closer to the top spots.
They are now four points behind the fourth Champions League spot. They have the momentum going, and all their last four games look winnable. TSG Hoffenheim, Wolfsburg, Bayer Leverkusen, and Holstein Kiel are their final opponents this season. Bayer Leverkusen may look like a tricky match, but they have lost the title already, so their motives are not as high. We will see what happens.
Borussia Dortmund has scored twice or more in each of their last four Bundesliga games, so they are in top shape. Also, they have beaten TSG Hoffenheim four straight times away in Sinsheim.
Midfielder Pascal Gross sustained a knee injury last week and will be out of the team for this game, but the good news is the return of Emre Can, who will likely replace him in the starting lineup.
The Betting Verdict
It’s difficult to trust Borussia Dortmund this season. Overall, it has been a terrible season with rare glimpses of good football. However, I think they can grab crucial points from this trip. They have raised their form in recent weeks, and there are only four games left to reach the fourth spot on the table.
TSG Hoffenheim is in bad shape, have lost many points recently, and are not completely out of relegation danger. One more win in their last four Bundesliga games would see them avoid relegation, but I doubt they can achieve that in this match.
This will likely be a close game. I expect goals in both nets and give Borussia Dortmund a slight advantage to win it.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
TSG Hoffenheim 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Borussia Dortmund to win at odds of 1.73 with BetFred
