German Bundesliga
2025-09-27 - St.Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Millerntor Stadion – Hamburg
Saturday, 27th September 2025 - kickoff 15:30 CET
St.Pauli
St.Pauli are going through their best-ever start under their coach, Alexander Blessin. They are above Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga standings, after going unbeaten in their first three matches, winning twice and drawing once.
However, they lost 2-0 to VfB Stuttgart last week, showing a worse performance than in previous games.
From my observations of St.Pauli, I can say that their scoring rate is modest when hosting big teams. They tend to limit the opponent’s chances but don’t always create enough to get points.
St.Pauli's defensive set-up improves at home, but their attack lacks consistency.
Bayer Leverkusen
New head coach Kasper Hjumland shook things up when he replaced Erik Ten Hag. Bayer Leverkusen is unbeaten in three straight Bundesliga games under him, although they missed a huge opportunity to climb higher last week after conceding a late equalizer in the 1-1 home draw against poor Borussia Monchengladbach.
Bayer Leverkusen have the pressure to deliver more consistent results. Their season has had mixed results so far, with two draws and only one impressive 3-1 win against Eintracht Frankfurt.
Bayer Leverkusen was also solid in the Champions League opener against Copenhagen last week, when they salvaged a 2-2 draw via a stoppage-time own goal. That shows they have fight, but also vulnerability, giving away leads or allowing opponents to get back in.
Their attacking options are strong, especially from set pieces, and under new management, there seems to be a bit more urgency and variety in attack. These recent matches show they can score from different scenarios.
Regarding recent duels against St.Pauli, Bayer Leverkusen won 2-1 at home and drew 1-1 away last season.
The Betting Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen look really good under their new coach, going unbeaten in three games. They need a confidence-boosting win before their Champions League duel against PSV next week, and I believe they will deliver.
St.Pauli is a resilient side, but they played poorly last week and often struggle against big favorites. They might hold on for a half or so, but in the end, I believe that Bayer Leverkusen will emerge as winners at valuable odds.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
St.Pauli 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Bayer Leverkusen to win at odds of 2.25 with BetFred
