Italian Serie A
2025-10-19 - Genoa vs Parma
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 7
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Liguria, Italy (33,205)
Sunday, 19 October 2025, 15:00 CET
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Genoa Team News
Genoa just keeps losing. After Bologna came Lazio and then came Napoli, and Genoa lost all those matches by an exact one goal difference, which is indeed the most common outcome of their matches against big teams for a long time now. Genoa always puts up a decent effort and never loses order, but in the end they fall short of a point.
As this side doesn't have good forwards anymore, they also struggle to create against the relegation candidates in matches where they're favoured to win, as was the case in the home 0-0 against Lecce early in the season.
This side is perfectly aware that they can only win 1-0, which means they have to keep a clean sheet, which means they have to play cautiously.
Parma Team News
Parma got their first win this season against Torino, 2-1, but then failed to get a single point in the next round, also at home, against Lecce. The visitors won 0-1 as Parma didn't even manage to create a good chance to score.
Parma is incapable of creating a good chance. Their goals come from penalty kicks, long shots and headers. It's not like they can pass the ball around and unsettle the defence with that. When things go particularly well, as in the Torino match, then Parma looks good in hindsight. But when you look at the big picture Parma gets left scoreless most of the time. They scored in two of six matches this season.
Probable Lineups
Genoa (4-2-3-1): Leali - Sabelli, Marcandalli, Vasquez, Martin - Masini, Frendrup - Norton-Cuffy, Malinovsky, Ellertsson - Colombo. Coach Vieira (red card).
Parma (3-5-2): Suzuki - Delprato, Circati, Ndiaye - Lovik, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Almqvist - Cutrone, Pellegrino. Coach Cuesta.
The Betting Market
Genoa is rightfully favoured at 2.10, but it's not like this is a sure thing, a lot of things have to go right in order for Genoa to confirm their status as a favourite here and end up taking the points. They probably have to keep a clean sheet, and then they have to find a way to score.
It's almost as if the Double Chance on Parma is a better bet than the home win. But the price is 1.70 so we'll pass on that.
A low-scoring game is expected. The price on Under 2.5 Goals is only 1.53, which means a 0-0 is likely, and if this is indeed the case, then the Both Teams To Score: NO at 1.70 is a valuable bet.
The Betting Verdict
Of course there's a chance that this match will erupt into a goal fest. If Parma scores first and scores early then it's possible we're looking at 2-1 or 1-2.
But if all goes as planned, this will be nil-nil for a long time and then one side will break the deadlock, and then defend until the final whistle. That's the most likely outcome of this fixture. So, all things considered, instead of Under 2.5 Goals for a laughable 1.53 we'll take the BTTS-No for 1.70.
The Pick :
Genoa 1-0 Parma
