German Bundesliga
2025-12-13 - TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
PreZero Arena – Sinsheim
Saturday, 13th December 2025 - kickoff 15:30 CET
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim’s six-game unbeaten run came to an end with a 2-0 loss in Dortmund last weekend, but Ilzer’s side remains firmly in the European frame, sitting fifth in the Bundesliga and matching top-four tempo for much of this Bundesliga season.
Their recent home form has been particularly impressive: three straight wins, nine goals scored, and eight different players on the scoresheet - a sign of how well-balanced and unpredictable this TSG Hoffenheim attack has become.
Defensively, they remain prone to mistakes, but the energy and structure in Sinsheim have been strong enough to compensate, especially in front of their home crowd.
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV heads south with some confidence after a 3-2 Nordderby win over Werder Bremen last week, giving them their first back-to-back Bundesliga victories this season. Those points pulled HSV up to the 13th spot, though the cushion above the danger zone is still slim.
Hamburger SV’s major problem remains painfully clear. They are the Bundesliga’s worst away side, and the only team yet to win on the road.
Their last six away trips produced just two points (two draws, four defeats) with a disastrous 2:12 goal difference, and they have lost their last three away matches without much resistance.
It’s a recurring theme with Hamburger SV this season - the defensive shape collapses away from home, and scoring chances dry up.
The Betting Verdict
With TSG Hoffenheim flying at home and HSV unable to buy an away result, the matchup tilts heavily toward the hosts.
TSG Hoffenheim’s varied scoring threats and strong home momentum make them the far more reliable side here. Back them to win at good odds.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Hamburger SV
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take TSG Hoffenheim to win at odds of 1.73 with BetFred
