Italian Serie A
2025-12-13 - Torino vs Cremonese
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 15
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Italy (28,177)
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 15:00 CET
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Torino Team News
Torino is now on a run of three straight defeats, in high-scoring matches, to Como, Lecce and Milan. In their last outing they took a quick 2-0 lead against Milan, only to eventually lose 2-3. It was a good game, not unlike the 3-3 against Lazio, where Torino decided to fight fire with fire and play offensively against a much better opponent.
They seem to adopt a same stance against the relegation candidates, as there's nothing to lose when you play poor sides, so the matches again tend to go over 2.5. The exception are the matches that never get going with that first goal so they remain nil-nil as both sides continue to cautiously search for a winning goal until the bitter end that is the bore draw.
As Torino is in a run of three defeats, it is likely they will go forward and search for points here against a counter-attacking side. Torino is now only two spots above the relegation zone.
Cremonese Team News
Cremonese had a three-game losing streak of their own, but then won 1-3 at Bologna and proceeded to win to nil against Lecce 2-0. These wins put Cremonese back in the upper half of the table as they're now 9th with 20 points. Not bad for a side that just arrived from Serie B.
Cremonese doesn't lose much and won't lose much if they continue to play like this. The tough defence is paired with a no-nonsense midfield that can drive the ball forward, where their two strikers Bonazzoli and Vardy can convert the chances at a greater rate than many of the forwards in this league.
As Cremonese found a way to play effectively without taking too much risk, they're a very dangerous opponent for any team in Serie A. As usual for counter-attacking teams, they're better on the road than at home, as indicated by the 3-2-2 record.
Probable Lineups
Torino (3-5-2): Israel - Ismajli, Maripan, Coco - Pedersen, Casadei, Asslani, Vlasic, Lazaro - Adams, Zapata. Coach Baroni.
Cremonese (3-5-2): Audero - F.Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti - Barbieri, Payero, Bondo, Vandeputte, Pezzella - Vardy, Bonazzoli. Coach Nicola.
The Betting Market
Torino is a favourite here at 2.04, but they haven't shown the ability to beat teams that belong to the bottom half of the table, and they were never really strong home favourites in such circumstances. Furthermore, it is them who is in the bottom half now.
However, it's the goals market where we'll try to find some value as the bookmakers will certainly not expect a goal fest here. Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 2.20, with a 1.66 for the Under, while the Both Teams To Score: YES option is priced at 1.95.
The Betting Verdict
With all the offensive talent on the pitch and the lack of solid defending, at least with the home side, we definitely see a route where this game can easily go over 2.5.
All we need is a goal to get things started, and then things will take care of itself.
The Statistics :
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