Italian Serie A
2026-01-10 - Atalanta vs Torino
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 20
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Bergamo, Lombardy, Italy (21,747)
Saturday, 10 January 2026, 20:45 CET
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Atalanta Team News
Atalanta couldn't do anything against Inter as they lost the derby 0-1, but then bounced back with a 1-0 win against Roma and also added a 0-2 win against Bologna for good measure. That's four wins in last five and only Inter and Juventus are in better form in Serie A.
If you look at the league table and the stats, you'd be forgiven for thinking Atalanta is a mid-table side that's looking up, but this is actually definitely a top-six side that could even in wrestle its way into the top four. Atalanta from the start of the season and this Atalanta are not the same. This one can actually score goals and not only play well. Gianluca Scamacca is the difference.
Torino Team News
Torino is 11th, as you expect Torino to be, and they worked their way up recently with three wins in last five rounds. But when your last five opponents are Cremonese, Sassuolo, Cagliari, Verona and Udinese, the 3-0-2 score actually doesn't look all that great.
Probable Lineups
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi - De Roon, Hien, Kolasinac - Zappacosta, Pasalic, Ederson, Bernasconi - De Ketelaere, Maldini - Krstovic. Coach Palladino.
Torino (3-5-2): Israel - Ismajli, Maripan, Coco - Pedersen, Casadei, Asslani, Vlasic, Lazaro - Adams, Zapata. Coach Baroni.
Gianluca Scamacca is doubtful so Nikola Krstovic could deputise, and as a result Atalanta could go back to the stone age.
The Betting Market
The price on Atalanta is 1.62, while both the Over/Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score markets are split down the middle at 1.90. Incredible. It's difficult to say if the match will be low- or high-scoring. Atalanta seems to be enjoying their flawless low-scoring victories lately.
The Betting Verdict
Torino can certainly do well on a good day, and their offensive brand of football can catch anyone by surprise. But the halo effect of them doing well is greater than what the stats say. Torino has 3 wins in last 11 rounds and has, among others, failed to beat Pisa, Lecce and Cagliari. The schedule has been unbelievably easy, too, with only Juventus and Milan the top sides. Therefore it makes more sense to not rate Torino too highly at the moment.
Atalanta is in a clear upward trajectory so however tricky Torino might seem because they ruin a lot of bets for everyone, this isn't a situation where that is likely to happen. Atalanta will win this, and their chances to win actually rise the more open Torino will play.
The Statistics :
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