German Bundesliga
2026-02-21 - RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena – Leipzig
Saturday, 21st February 2026 - kickoff 18:30 CET
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s 2-2 draw against Wolfsburg last week can be seen as a setback, but it was the first point they earned this season, coming back from a losing position. They are now fifth in the Bundesliga, but only two points behind the Champions League spots, so they still have a good chance for a top-four finish.
A problem for RB Leipzig is their poor recent form at home. They won only once in their last five home games and are currently on a three-game winless home stretch (two defeats and a draw last week).
However, RB Leipzig has a pretty good recent record against Borussia Dortmund, beating them four times in their last six competitive duels, with their first game this season ending in a 1-1 draw.
A big problem for RB Leipzig for the remainder of this season will likely be the bad knee injury of their first-choice goalkeeper, Peter Gulacsi. He got injured last week and is scheduled to miss action in the next six weeks at least. The 23-year-old Maarten Vandevoordt will take his place until he comes back.
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund are on a fantastic run of six straight Bundesliga wins, sitting six points behind Bayern Munich.
The big derby against the Bavarians is scheduled for next weekend, so Borussia Dortmund simply must win this game to keep the pressure on and make the battle for the Bundesliga title more interesting.
Borussia Dortmund prepared well for this game by beating Atalanta 2-0 in the Champions League last midweek, so their form is near-perfect. Serhou Guirassy and Maximilian Beier both scored, proving their excellent form, and will lead the attack in this game again.
Another impressive thing about Borussia Dortmund is that they have scored at least twice in each of their last eight Bundesliga games, so their attacking power is scary good.
Borussia Dortmund is also unbeaten in six consecutive away matches before this trip, drawing three and winning three.
The Betting Verdict
The overall Bundesliga head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund is perfectly even – 8 wins for each side and 3 draws in their 19 meetings.
However, there’s one place RB Leipzig dominates, and it may surprise many – RB Leipzig has won 5 straight home games against Borussia Dortmund, once in the cup and four times in the Bundesliga!
I am leaning more toward Borussia Dortmund thanks to their stunning form and the incredibly good odds for the away win.
Borussia Dortmund are never sure winners, but I think they will get the three points here before the big match against Bayern Munich next weekend.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
RB Leipzig 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
