German Bundesliga
2026-02-28 - TSG Hoffenheim vs St.Pauli
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
PreZero Arena – Sinsheim
Saturday, 28th February 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim remain firmly in the Champions League conversation despite dropping points in a 2-2 draw at Köln last week. That result means they have taken just one win from their last three Bundesliga matches, but they still sit third in the table, three points clear of fourth and six behind second.
At home, though, TSG Hoffenheim have been outstanding. They won eight straight Bundesliga matches at the PreZero Arena, setting a new club record, and they have consistently delivered goals.
Each of their last four Bundesliga games has produced over 2.5 goals, and they have scored at least twice in five of their last six. Going forward, TSG Hoffenheim looks sharp and confident, particularly in Sinsheim.
St.Pauli
St.Pauli boosted their survival hopes with a big 2-1 win over Werder Bremen last time out, a result that lifted them above Werder Bremen into the relegation playoff spot and left them level on points with safety, only behind on goal difference.
Their recent matches have also been open, with over 2.5 goals landing in their last four. However, away form is a major concern. St.Pauli won just once on the road all season, losing nine of 12 away Bundesliga games, including each of their last four. Defensive vulnerabilities tend to be more visible outside their home ground in Hamburg.
The Betting Verdict
TSG Hoffenheim’s home form is hard to ignore, especially with their attacking output and the confidence that comes with eight straight wins in Sinsheim. They comfortably won 0-3 away at St.Pauli earlier this season, and this looks like another tough assignment for the visitors, given their poor away record.
TSG Hoffenheim to win is the clear lean, so back them to record their ninth straight home win at good odds.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
TSG Hoffenheim 2-0 St.Pauli
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take TSG Hoffenheim to win at odds of 1.50 at Bet365
