German Bundesliga
2026-02-28 - Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Signal Iduna Park – Dortmund
Saturday, 28th February 2026 - kickoff 18:30 CET
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund head into Der Klassiker in strong domestic form after stretching their unbeaten Bundesliga run to 16 matches with a dramatic 2-2 draw away at RB Leipzig.
Trailing 2-0, BVB showed real character to fight back and salvage a point last week, maintaining momentum after five straight Bundesliga wins prior to that.
Borussia Dortmund have lost just once all season – against Bayern Munich earlier in the campaign – and their tally of 52 points after 23 games is one of the best in the club’s history at this stage. In many seasons that would be enough to lead the table, but Bayern Munich’s relentless pace means Borussia Dortmund still trails by eight points.
At Signal Iduna Park, Borussia Dortmund have been rock solid, unbeaten in 11 Bundesliga matches with nine wins and two draws.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich continues to set the standard. The 3-2 win over Eintracht Frankfurt last week was their third straight Bundesliga victory, even if they made life difficult for themselves after racing into a 3-0 lead.
Harry Kane struck twice to take his Bundesliga tally to 28 goals in 23 matches, underlining his extraordinary impact. Bayern Munich are the only side yet to lose away from home this season and are unbeaten in their last 20 Bundesliga games on the road.
Historically, the Bavarians also dominated this fixture, losing just one of the last 15 meetings (11 wins) and going unbeaten in their last seven trips to Dortmund.
The Betting Verdict
Borussia Dortmund’s home record suggests they are more than capable of competing, but Bayern Munich’s consistency and their strong recent record in this fixture are hard to ignore.
This should be an open and high-quality game, with goals at both ends likely. I believe Bayern Munich will edge it given their pedigree in big moments, but a draw would not be a surprise in what feels like a finely balanced Klassiker.
Still, my main betting recommendation here is going for goals, with both teams to score & over 2.5 goals looking a likely outcome.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern Munich
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take BTTS & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55 at 12Play Sports
