German Bundesliga
2026-10-24 - Mainz vs Werder Bremen
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
MEWA Arena – Mainz
Saturday, 24th October 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
Mainz
Mainz have already shown they can score against anyone, but their defense has made life difficult.
They are winless at home, losing their last two with 1-3 to Eintracht Frankfurt and 3-4 to Bayer Leverkusen.
However, they won 0-1 away to Schalke 04 last weekend, with Phillip Tietz scoring the only goal and Mainz keeping their first clean sheet since the opening weeks.
Urs Fischer's side have scored 14 goals in six Bundesliga matches, so there is little reason to expect them to sit back at home. Tietz has been key to that attack, and his goal against Schalke 04 took his league tally to five.
The concern is what happens when Mainz lose possession: their recent high-scoring defeats showed how quickly games can get away from them.
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen have developed a habit of making games harder than they need to be. They have come back from two goals down in each of their last three matches, drawing 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn and beating Augsburg 3-2. That run is remarkable, but Daniel Thioune will want his team to stop giving opponents such a head start.
Niclas Füllkrug has been central to those recoveries. He scored both goals against SC Paderborn last week and has netted six times in his last five matches.
Werder Bremen have scored 12 goals in six Bundesliga games, and their attack looks capable of troubling Mainz.
The other side of Werder Bremen's recent form is just as important: they have conceded in five of their six Bundesliga matches.
Werder Bremen have dominated Mainz in recent head-to-head duels, winning 4 of their last 6 Bundesliga meetings.
The Betting Verdict
I prefer Both Teams to Score at 1.54. Mainz have scored 14 goals in six Bundesliga games, while Werder Bremen have found the net regularly through Füllkrug and have scored twice in each of their last three matches.
Both defenses have given up too many chances for me to trust either side to keep the other out. At this price, I think both teams scoring is the better angle than picking a winner.
If you still want to bet on the outcome, the odds on a Werder Bremen away win look very tempting, and even the double-chance bet on the visitors pays well.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take both teams to score: YES at odds of 1.54 with SportBet.One
