German Bundesliga
2026-10-24 - SC Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Home Deluxe Arena – Paderborn
Saturday, 24th October 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
SC Paderborn
SC Paderborn let a good result slip away at Werder Bremen last weekend. Stefano Marino and Steffen Tigges put them 0-2 ahead inside 30 minutes, but Niclas Füllkrug scored twice after the break to make it 2-2. SC Paderborn were clinical with their early chances, yet they struggled to protect their lead once Werder Bremen increased the pressure.
Scoring remains a concern for Ralf Kettemann's side. SC Paderborn have managed just five goals in six Bundesliga games, although their 3-1 home win over TSG Hoffenheim showed they can cause problems when their forwards get good service. They also beat Hamburger SV 2-0 in their last meeting in March 2025, so the visitors should not expect an easy afternoon.
Marcel Hoffmeier is out with a muscle injury, and Sebastian Klaas, Timur Gayret, and Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant are also among SC Paderborn's absentees. Laurin Curda has been reported as available despite a hand fracture.
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV are finally finding their feet. They have won three straight Bundesliga matches, beating Koln at home, TSG Hoffenheim away, and VfB Stuttgart at home last weekend. Pretty impressive!
Their defensive improvement matters here. SC Paderborn haven't scored freely this season, so Hamburger SV's ability to keep the game tight gives them a good chance to control the match.
Hamburger SV also have momentum on their side, but a fourth straight win would be their first such run in 17 years.
Hamburger SV do have selection problems. Patson Daka is expected to miss several weeks with a thigh injury, Mario Vuskovic is suspended, and Albert Sambi Lokonga is listed as doubtful. Daka's absence reduces their options up front, while Vuskovic's suspension weakens their defensive choices.
Even so, Hamburger SV have enough confidence from their recent results to travel with a realistic chance of extending their unbeaten run.
The Betting Verdict
I lean towards Hamburger SV, but I'd protect with the draw rather than take the straight win.
Their last three victories show a side growing in confidence, but SC Paderborn have some pressure and can be dangerous at home.
My recommended bet is Hamburger SV on a double-chance bet, and the price still offers a decent return if they extend their unbeaten run.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
SC Paderborn 0-1 Hamburger SV
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Hamburger SV to win or draw (X2) at odds of 1.67 at Bet365
