German Bundesliga
2026-10-24 - RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena – Leipzig
Saturday, 24th October 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig need a response after taking a heavy 6-1 beating at Bayern Munich last weekend. That came straight after a 6-0 home win over Eintracht Frankfurt, which shows how wildly different their performances have been from one game to the next.
The good news is that RB Leipzig have been outstanding at the Red Bull Arena: they have won all three Bundesliga home games this season, scoring 14 goals without conceding!
The Champions League trip to Real Madrid on Wednesday makes this a little trickier. Martín Demichelis will have to manage his squad across two demanding games in four days, and RB Leipzig cannot afford to start slowly after their heavy Bundesliga defeat in Munich.
The team has a few selection concerns. Assan Ouédraogo is listed as unavailable with a shoulder injury, while Marc Guiu has a hamstring problem and Viggo Gebel is out with a knee injury. Christoph Baumgartner is listed as doubtful with a thigh issue, so his availability needs checking closer to kick-off.
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg arrive with confidence after beating Augsburg 4-3 last weekend. It was an entertaining win, but it also showed how quickly their matches can get away from them defensively. They have scored 12 goals in six Bundesliga games, so RB Leipzig should not underestimate their ability to create chances.
Vincent Wagner's side have already shown they can compete at this level. They have 10 points from their first six matches and sit ahead of RB Leipzig in the table, despite losing 1-0 away to Union Berlin in their previous away fixture. Their attacking numbers make them more than just opponents RB Leipzig should expect to brush aside.
The challenge is keeping RB Leipzig quiet for the whole game. The hosts have scored freely at home, and SV Elversberg will need to defend far better than they did against Augsburg.
Francis Onyeka, Luis Seifert and Tom Zimmerschied are listed as unavailable, while Cole Campbell is doubtful with an ankle problem.
The Betting Verdict
I still favor RB Leipzig, even with the difficult mid-week trip to Real Madrid. Their home record is too strong to ignore, but SV Elversberg proved they are not in the Bundesliga just to defend against the favorites.
There is a potential for goals in both nets, but I expect RB Leipzig to create enough chances to win by more than one goal.
My pick is RB Leipzig -1.5 on the Asian handicap. That requires RB Leipzig to win by at least two goals, which is a fair ask given their home scoring record. The midweek game adds some risk, but I would rather back RB Leipzig to win with a margin than take their short straight-win price.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
RB Leipzig 3-1 SV Elversberg
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take RB Leipzig to win -1.5 AH at odds of 1.98 with Cloudbet
