German Bundesliga
2009-04-04 - Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Volkswagen Arena
Saturday 4th April 2009, Kickoff 15:30
Wolfsburg (3rd - Home Rec : 11-1-0 32:10)
Surprisingly or not, Wolfsburg is in the top four in the Bundesliga along with Bayern just a point away from the leaders Hertha.
This is the best home side in the Bundesliga with great 11 wins, only 1 draw match and without a single loss. Coach Felix Magath seems that is very capable for pulling out the best out of his players. Seven wins in a row proves that Wolfsburg is a serious title contender.
Wolfsburg will play with 2 attackers again with the great duo Grafite-Dzeko. Grafite is top striker in the Bundesliga with 18 goals in 16 appearances (including 6 penalties).
Brazilian midfielder Josue is doubtful for this match and Karimow, Alex, Platins, Kreules, Evijuskin, Hill and Reiche are all out with injuries.
No other side have scored more goals than Wolfsburg in 2009 (18 goals).
Wolfsburg has impressive 10 wins in last 10 matches at home in the Bundesliga. The last time that Wolfsburg have not scored at home was a 0-0 draw against Bayern Munich on match day 31 of last season - in 13 games since then, there was only one occasion that the ‘Wolves’ failed to score at least two goals.
Felix Magath was a few years back coach of Bayern Munich and knows the side well, and although the Munich side has changed, I am sure he will know how to motivate his players.
Bayern Munich (2nd - Away Rec : 6-4-3 19:11)
Bayern expects a massive match against Barcelona in the Champions League next week so it will be interesting to see how they will react in this match.
Bayern is rising again and has 4 wins in a row. Luca Toni is set to return for this match and Podolski will be in the attack again. Luca Toni has scored 9 goals in 16 appearances so far (with no penalties).
Miroslav Klose is injured and out for this match together with Hamit Altintop. Demichelis is suspended and will not play as well. Van Buyten will be in the midfield and he has been in very good form lately.
Creative midfielder Ribery of course will be in the squad but we will see will he play the whole 90 minutes, or he will keep himself out of injuries for the clash against Barcelona.
Bayern have not conceded in three of last four games, and have most recorded shots on goal (almost 18 per match).
Head to Head
Interesting fact surrounding this match is that both teams have scored a total of 53 goals thus far and together boast the best goal difference in the Bundesliga (+22).
Wolfsburg have poor record at home against Bavarians, Bayern has even won six times at Volkswagen arena.
The Betting Verdict
I think backing draw has a good value having in mind that this match is not “all or nothing” for both sides.
Both teams are only one point behind the leaders so a draw will not hurt their championship aspirations that much.
Bayern has a Champions league match to think about and I am sure a hard earned point in this match will do well to Wolfsburg too.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern Munich
