Dutch EreDivision
2007-02-11 - Twente vs Feyenoord
A Sports Betting Pick by Erik
The $2.20 on offer for a FC Twente win seems indeed a little bit high, certainly given the current circumstances in both teams.FC Twente
FC Twente is on an amazing home streak this season with 10 wins and one draw and the team has to lose a competition game at home yet. The team has been performing quite well this season being currently fourth in the ranking and only three points down on the number three AZ.
For the game against Feyenoord the team has no important missings with only El Ahmadi, Wilkshire and Gerritsen out of which only Wilkshire played 20 matches for FC Twente this season with the other two being of no real importance to the team. Boschker is expected to play after his collission in the game against Excelsior last week (1-2).
Feyenoord
Feyenoord on the other hand are the number five in the ranking with the team losing 4-1 away to Ajax last week.
Times have been rather turbulent in Rotterdam with Feyenoord not performing well in the competition and the behaviour of the 'suppporters' which has cost them a place in the UEFA Cup. Feyenoord has signed a protest and while awaiting the verdict, their European future is far from certain with the team losing 2 million euros alone on missing the games against the Spurs.
Feyenoord will have five missings for the game against FC Twente with Lensku, Hofs, Lodewijks, Pardo and Greene not being able to play on Sunday of which Greene and Hofs will be missed in the defense and on the midfield respectively.
Previous confrontations
26/10/2006 Feyenoord - FC Twente 2-1
02/04/2006 Feyenoord - FC Twente 4-2
25/09/2005 FC Twente - Feyenoord 1-3
29/01/2005 FC Twente - Feyenoord 0-0
12/09/2004 Feyenoord - FC Twente 3-1
04/02/2004 FC Twente - Feyenoord 3-1 (Cup)
01/02/2004 Feyenoord - FC Twente 3-2
13/12/2003 FC Twente - Feyenoord 4-2
02/02/2003 Feyenoord - FC Twente 4-2
14/09/2002 FC Twente - Feyenoord 1-5
Looking at the previous confrontations we can see Feyenoord coming out way ahead with seven wins in their last ten meetings and that where I think the rather high price on FC Twente comes from.
The Match
Feyenoord is a team that can fight themselves into any game normally, but in the game against Ajax the team showed not to be able to bounce back from getting behind in the game. Feyenoord played a more than decent first twenty minutes with the team creating some good chances to open the score. Needed to say is Feyenoord was also quite unlucky in the game against Ajax with Charisteas hitting the post twice.
FC Twente is on an excellent home streak, with N'Kufo netting seventeen goals so far and scoring in eight from the last nine home games this seaosn. With the arrival of Aissati during the winter break FC Twente have been given quite a boost on the midfield and this was also proven in the friendly game from Holland U21 against Russia U21 last Tuesday in which both Aissati and Bakkal showed to be able to find each other without any problems.
FC Twente-Feyenoord will become a highly interesting match to watch and I do expect quite some goals with Feyenoord desperate for the win and FC Twente looking to take revenge for the 2-1 defeat earlier this season in Rotterdam.
Verdict
So, looking at the total picture I think the home win will be the most likely outcome but I wouldn't want it rate it higher than 48%, which makes the $2.20 on offer still decent value.
The Pick :
Twente 3-2 Feyenoord
