Tennis
2026-03-26 - Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis : ATP 1000 Miami Quarter Final
Thursday 26th March 2026 - Scheduled 7pm
11pm (British Time)
Preview
It has been a very productive trip to Miami for Francisco Cerundolo and he will be keen for it to continue for at least another Round.
Very little strong hard court form had been presented by the World Number 19 over the last few years and Francisco Cerundolo had a 4-3 record in the surface in 2026 before the three wins already secured here.
The win over Daniil Medvedev is the stand out result achieved, but Francisco Cerundolo is facing an even higher Ranked opponent in this Quarter Final. His serve has proven to be a decent weapon in the conditions, but Cerundolo has really impressed with the level of the return and 45% of return games ending in a Break of serve across three wins is impressive.
None of that will be lost on Alexander Zverev who will have hoped to have been on the other side of the draw where he would have now been a big favourite to reach the Miami Final. Instead Zverev is going to have go through this tough Quarter Final opponent and then likely have another crack at trying to beat World Number 2 Jannik Sinner on Friday and it is a challenging position for the German player.
Alexander Zverev has only faced 3 Break Points in the three wins secured in Miami, but he has still spent some significant time on the court in the last two Rounds. Having a day off between the Fourth Round and the Quarter Final will help and the World Number 4 is going to be very comfortable with the serving numbers produced this season.
The returning numbers have not been as encouraging in the tournament, but Alexander Zverev has to feel there is more to come from himself.
He will take significant belief out of the fact he has won the last three matches against Francisco Cerundolo and all on the hard courts, including a very comfortable win at the Australian Open in January. The match late in 2025 was a more competitive affair in the Davis Cup, but Alexander Zverev may be the player with the majority of Break Points in this Quarter Final and that could see him edge past this spread, even if some may feel it is a game too high.
Prediction
Lay the games with the World Number 4 in this Quarter Final.
The Pick :
Francisco Cerundolo 0-2 Alexander Zverev
